浙江农业学报

• 农业经济与发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

农业科技计划投入与农业经济增长关系的实证研究——以青岛市为例

  

  1. (青岛农业大学 a 中国农村发展研究院; b 外国语学院,山东 青岛 266109)
  • 出版日期:2015-07-25 发布日期:2015-08-03

Empirical study on the relationship between investment plan in agricultural science and technology and agricultural economic growth: Taking Qingdao City as an example

  1. (a Chinas Rural Development Institution; b College of Foreign Languages, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao 266109, China)
  • Online:2015-07-25 Published:2015-08-03

摘要: 农业科技计划是提高农业科技创新能力、促进农业经济增长的重要推动力。运用VAR模型,实证研究了青岛市农业科技计划投入、农业经济增长之间的动态关系。研究结果表明,青岛市农业科技计划投入和农业经济增长之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系;农业科技计划投入是农业经济增长的Granger原因,其对农业经济产生短期的负向作用后,始终保持着正向作用;而农业经济不是农业科技计划投入增长的Granger原因,其对农业科技计划投入始终产生负向影响。

关键词: 农业科技计划投入, 农业经济增长, VAR模型, 青岛市

Abstract: Agricultural science and technology investment plan is an important driving force to improve the science and technology innovation ability and promote economic growth in agricultural field. In the present paper, empirical study was conducted to explore the relationship between investment plan in agricultural science and technology and agricultural economic growth in Qingdao City by VAR model. It was shown that there was a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between agricultural science and technology investment and agricultural economic growth in Qingdao City. Agricultural science and technology investment plan was the granger cause of agricultural economy growth, which always played a positive role after generating short-term negative effects at the beginning. While the agricultural economy, which always produced negative influence on the investment in agricultural science and technology, was not the granger cause of agricultural science and technology investment plan.

Key words: agricultural science and technology investment plan, agricultural economic growth, VAR model, Qingdao City