1978—2017年中国区域农业经济发展差距与结构特征

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2020.12.17

浙江农业学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (12): 2253-2260.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2020.12.17

1978—2017年中国区域农业经济发展差距与结构特征

胡晨沛¹(), 李辉尚²^,^*(), 郭昕竺²

1.国家统计局国际统计信息中心,北京 100826
2.中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业农村部农业大数据重点实验室,北京 100081

收稿日期:2020-06-18 出版日期:2020-12-25 发布日期:2020-12-25
通讯作者: 李辉尚
作者简介:*李辉尚,E-mail: lihuishang@caas.cn
胡晨沛(1994—),男,浙江永嘉人,硕士,统计师,研究方向为宏观经济。E-mail: zafuhcp@126.com
基金资助:
全国统计科学研究项目(2020LY022);中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项资金(JBYW-AII-2017-12);中国农业科学院创新工程(CAAS-AII-2016)

Structural characteristics and development gap of regional agricultural economy in China from 1978 to 2017

HU Chenpei¹(), LI Huishang²^,^*(), GUO Xinzhu²

1. International Statistical Information Center of National Bureau of Statistics, Beijing 100826, China
2. Agricultural Information Institute of the Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Key Laboratory of Big Agri-Data, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Beijing 100081, China

Received:2020-06-18 Online:2020-12-25 Published:2020-12-25
Contact: LI Huishang

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

改革开放以来,中国农业经济实现了持续较快的增长,但区域间农业发展不平衡问题仍较为突出。基于1978—2017年31个省区市的农业劳动力投入和经济产出数据,利用泰尔指数从南北方、东中西部2个维度测度中国区域农业经济发展差距及其结构特征。结果表明:从区域间发展差距看,改革开放以来,中国南北方农业经济发展差距不断缩小,东中西部的发展差距是现阶段中国农业经济发展差距的主要来源;从区域内部看,南方地区内部省际农业经济发展差距较大,西部地区内部省际发展差距大于中部和东部地区。

关键词: 农业经济发展, 区域差异, 泰尔指数

Abstract:

Since the reform and opening up, China’s agriculture has achieved rapid growth, but the problem of uncoordinated agricultural development among regions is still outstanding. Based on the panel data of labor input and economic output of the first industry in 31 provinces (autonomous region, municipality) from 1978 to 2017, the Theil index was introduced to measure the regional development gap of agricultural economy and its structural characteristics. It was shown that, from the perspective of regional development gaps, the development gap in agricultural economy between the north and south of China has been shrinking since the reform and opening up. The development gap within the east, central and west is the main source of the development gap in China’s agricultural economy currently. The inter-provincial development gap in agricultural economy in the south is larger than that in the north, and the development gap within the west region is larger than that within the central and east regions.

Key words: agricultural economy development, regional difference, Theil index

中图分类号:

胡晨沛, 李辉尚, 郭昕竺. 1978—2017年中国区域农业经济发展差距与结构特征[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2020, 32(12): 2253-2260.

HU Chenpei, LI Huishang, GUO Xinzhu. Structural characteristics and development gap of regional agricultural economy in China from 1978 to 2017[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2020, 32(12): 2253-2260.

图/表 5

参考文献 14

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年份 Year	东中西部 West, east and central	南北方 North and south	全国 National	年份 Year	东中西部 West, east and central	南北方 North and south	全国 National
1978	0.005 6	0.004 4	0.033 8	1998	0.013 7	0.003 1	0.059 9
1979	0.007 6	0.002 7	0.036 8	1999	0.014 9	0.002 3	0.063 8
1980	0.006 8	0.002 4	0.034 8	2000	0.014 9	0.001 8	0.063 6
1981	0.006 8	0.001 9	0.034 7	2001	0.017 8	0.001 9	0.072 3
1982	0.007 9	0.001 8	0.036 0	2002	0.018 7	0.002 1	0.074 2
1983	0.009 5	0.004 7	0.044 7	2003	0.020 1	0.002 2	0.078 2
1984	0.014 1	0.003 8	0.046 5	2004	0.020 5	0.002 3	0.077 5
1985	0.012 3	0.002 0	0.039 7	2005	0.021 8	0.002 5	0.079 0
1986	0.014 0	0.002 7	0.047 4	2006	0.022 6	0.002 3	0.078 8
1987	0.016 0	0.002 7	0.048 6	2007	0.023 2	0.001 9	0.079 3
1988	0.016 3	0.003 8	0.055 0	2008	0.022 2	0.002 2	0.080 0
1989	0.014 9	0.001 8	0.045 8	2009	0.020 7	0.001 2	0.072 9
1990	0.009 8	0.006 2	0.054 8	2010	0.021 9	0.000 9	0.074 4
1991	0.010 2	0.005 4	0.058 9	2011	0.022 8	0.000 8	0.075 5
1992	0.010 3	0.005 2	0.062 7	2012	0.021 0	0.000 8	0.071 5
1993	0.012 3	0.004 2	0.063 9	2013	0.020 8	0.000 7	0.072 0
1994	0.015 6	0.004 5	0.067 4	2014	0.019 9	0.000 6	0.071 3
1995	0.015 5	0.002 9	0.061 4	2015	0.019 1	0.000 3	0.071 3
1996	0.014 4	0.003 7	0.059 8	2016	0.017 9	0.000 1	0.070 5
1997	0.014 1	0.002 8	0.060 5	2017	0.017 3	0.000 1	0.069 6

年份 Year	东中西部 West, east and central	南北方 North and south	全国 National	年份 Year	东中西部 West, east and central	南北方 North and south	全国 National
1978	0.005 6	0.004 4	0.033 8	1998	0.013 7	0.003 1	0.059 9
1979	0.007 6	0.002 7	0.036 8	1999	0.014 9	0.002 3	0.063 8
1980	0.006 8	0.002 4	0.034 8	2000	0.014 9	0.001 8	0.063 6
1981	0.006 8	0.001 9	0.034 7	2001	0.017 8	0.001 9	0.072 3
1982	0.007 9	0.001 8	0.036 0	2002	0.018 7	0.002 1	0.074 2
1983	0.009 5	0.004 7	0.044 7	2003	0.020 1	0.002 2	0.078 2
1984	0.014 1	0.003 8	0.046 5	2004	0.020 5	0.002 3	0.077 5
1985	0.012 3	0.002 0	0.039 7	2005	0.021 8	0.002 5	0.079 0
1986	0.014 0	0.002 7	0.047 4	2006	0.022 6	0.002 3	0.078 8
1987	0.016 0	0.002 7	0.048 6	2007	0.023 2	0.001 9	0.079 3
1988	0.016 3	0.003 8	0.055 0	2008	0.022 2	0.002 2	0.080 0
1989	0.014 9	0.001 8	0.045 8	2009	0.020 7	0.001 2	0.072 9
1990	0.009 8	0.006 2	0.054 8	2010	0.021 9	0.000 9	0.074 4
1991	0.010 2	0.005 4	0.058 9	2011	0.022 8	0.000 8	0.075 5
1992	0.010 3	0.005 2	0.062 7	2012	0.021 0	0.000 8	0.071 5
1993	0.012 3	0.004 2	0.063 9	2013	0.020 8	0.000 7	0.072 0
1994	0.015 6	0.004 5	0.067 4	2014	0.019 9	0.000 6	0.071 3
1995	0.015 5	0.002 9	0.061 4	2015	0.019 1	0.000 3	0.071 3
1996	0.014 4	0.003 7	0.059 8	2016	0.017 9	0.000 1	0.070 5
1997	0.014 1	0.002 8	0.060 5	2017	0.017 3	0.000 1	0.069 6

年份 Year	南方 South	北方 North	东部 East	中部 Central	西部 West	年份 Year	南方 South	北方 North	东部 East	中部 Central	西部 West
1978	0.011 4	0.018 1	0.006 6	0.017 1	0.004 5	1998	0.031 2	0.025 7	0.011 2	0.009 7	0.025 3
1979	0.018 1	0.016 0	0.007 5	0.015 3	0.006 5	1999	0.034 6	0.026 9	0.011 7	0.011 9	0.025 3
1980	0.013 1	0.019 4	0.006 5	0.015 9	0.005 6	2000	0.037 7	0.024 1	0.011 7	0.011 4	0.025 7
1981	0.014 4	0.018 4	0.005 0	0.014 4	0.008 5	2001	0.045 7	0.024 7	0.012 3	0.011 2	0.030 9
1982	0.018 5	0.015 7	0.005 4	0.015 5	0.007 2	2002	0.047 5	0.024 6	0.012 8	0.010 5	0.032 2
1983	0.014 5	0.025 5	0.006 6	0.020 8	0.007 9	2003	0.051 1	0.025 0	0.013 0	0.011 8	0.033 4
1984	0.021 7	0.021 0	0.005 8	0.017 9	0.008 8	2004	0.050 6	0.024 6	0.011 8	0.011 5	0.033 7
1985	0.023 1	0.014 5	0.003 4	0.013 0	0.010 9	2005	0.050 8	0.025 7	0.010 5	0.012 3	0.034 4
1986	0.027 3	0.017 4	0.005 4	0.017 7	0.010 3	2006	0.051 3	0.025 2	0.010 8	0.011 7	0.033 7
1987	0.028 1	0.017 8	0.006 1	0.015 0	0.011 5	2007	0.052 5	0.024 9	0.011 0	0.010 5	0.034 7
1988	0.031 2	0.020 0	0.008 9	0.014 1	0.015 7	2008	0.051 9	0.026 0	0.012 2	0.010 9	0.034 8
1989	0.029 2	0.014 8	0.009 4	0.008 5	0.013 1	2009	0.046 8	0.024 9	0.012 4	0.010 1	0.029 7
1990	0.024 3	0.024 3	0.012 4	0.015 5	0.017 2	2010	0.049 0	0.024 5	0.013 7	0.010 2	0.028 7
1991	0.029 0	0.024 5	0.014 7	0.016 2	0.017 9	2011	0.051 2	0.023 5	0.013 9	0.009 9	0.028 8
1992	0.030 5	0.027 0	0.015 3	0.016 2	0.020 8	2012	0.048 3	0.022 5	0.013 6	0.010 2	0.026 7
1993	0.031 8	0.027 8	0.016 7	0.014 0	0.020 9	2013	0.048 5	0.022 8	0.014 2	0.010 6	0.026 3
1994	0.035 2	0.027 7	0.014 1	0.015 5	0.022 2	2014	0.047 8	0.023 0	0.013 6	0.012 3	0.025 5
1995	0.032 4	0.026 1	0.012 1	0.012 9	0.020 9	2015	0.047 6	0.023 4	0.014 1	0.012 9	0.025 1
1996	0.029 3	0.026 9	0.010 0	0.014 3	0.021 2	2016	0.047 8	0.022 5	0.014 2	0.014 1	0.024 2
1997	0.030 2	0.027 5	0.010 3	0.014 1	0.021 9	2017	0.045 9	0.023 7	0.013 6	0.014 3	0.024 5

年份 Year	南方 South	北方 North	东部 East	中部 Central	西部 West	年份 Year	南方 South	北方 North	东部 East	中部 Central	西部 West
1978	0.011 4	0.018 1	0.006 6	0.017 1	0.004 5	1998	0.031 2	0.025 7	0.011 2	0.009 7	0.025 3
1979	0.018 1	0.016 0	0.007 5	0.015 3	0.006 5	1999	0.034 6	0.026 9	0.011 7	0.011 9	0.025 3
1980	0.013 1	0.019 4	0.006 5	0.015 9	0.005 6	2000	0.037 7	0.024 1	0.011 7	0.011 4	0.025 7
1981	0.014 4	0.018 4	0.005 0	0.014 4	0.008 5	2001	0.045 7	0.024 7	0.012 3	0.011 2	0.030 9
1982	0.018 5	0.015 7	0.005 4	0.015 5	0.007 2	2002	0.047 5	0.024 6	0.012 8	0.010 5	0.032 2
1983	0.014 5	0.025 5	0.006 6	0.020 8	0.007 9	2003	0.051 1	0.025 0	0.013 0	0.011 8	0.033 4
1984	0.021 7	0.021 0	0.005 8	0.017 9	0.008 8	2004	0.050 6	0.024 6	0.011 8	0.011 5	0.033 7
1985	0.023 1	0.014 5	0.003 4	0.013 0	0.010 9	2005	0.050 8	0.025 7	0.010 5	0.012 3	0.034 4
1986	0.027 3	0.017 4	0.005 4	0.017 7	0.010 3	2006	0.051 3	0.025 2	0.010 8	0.011 7	0.033 7
1987	0.028 1	0.017 8	0.006 1	0.015 0	0.011 5	2007	0.052 5	0.024 9	0.011 0	0.010 5	0.034 7
1988	0.031 2	0.020 0	0.008 9	0.014 1	0.015 7	2008	0.051 9	0.026 0	0.012 2	0.010 9	0.034 8
1989	0.029 2	0.014 8	0.009 4	0.008 5	0.013 1	2009	0.046 8	0.024 9	0.012 4	0.010 1	0.029 7
1990	0.024 3	0.024 3	0.012 4	0.015 5	0.017 2	2010	0.049 0	0.024 5	0.013 7	0.010 2	0.028 7
1991	0.029 0	0.024 5	0.014 7	0.016 2	0.017 9	2011	0.051 2	0.023 5	0.013 9	0.009 9	0.028 8
1992	0.030 5	0.027 0	0.015 3	0.016 2	0.020 8	2012	0.048 3	0.022 5	0.013 6	0.010 2	0.026 7
1993	0.031 8	0.027 8	0.016 7	0.014 0	0.020 9	2013	0.048 5	0.022 8	0.014 2	0.010 6	0.026 3
1994	0.035 2	0.027 7	0.014 1	0.015 5	0.022 2	2014	0.047 8	0.023 0	0.013 6	0.012 3	0.025 5
1995	0.032 4	0.026 1	0.012 1	0.012 9	0.020 9	2015	0.047 6	0.023 4	0.014 1	0.012 9	0.025 1
1996	0.029 3	0.026 9	0.010 0	0.014 3	0.021 2	2016	0.047 8	0.022 5	0.014 2	0.014 1	0.024 2
1997	0.030 2	0.027 5	0.010 3	0.014 1	0.021 9	2017	0.045 9	0.023 7	0.013 6	0.014 3	0.024 5

1978—2017年中国区域农业经济发展差距与结构特征

Structural characteristics and development gap of regional agricultural economy in China from 1978 to 2017

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