浙江农业学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (6): 1049-1061.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2021.06.10
施厚军1(), 兰安军1,2,*(
), 易兴松3, 翟香1, 廖艳梅1, 钟九生1,2
收稿日期:
2020-12-14
出版日期:
2021-06-25
发布日期:
2021-06-25
通讯作者:
兰安军
作者简介:
*兰安军,E-mail: 493486980@qq.com基金资助:
SHI Houjun1(), LAN Anjun1,2,*(
), YI Xingsong3, ZHAI Xiang1, LIAO Yanmei1, ZHONG Jiusheng1,2
Received:
2020-12-14
Online:
2021-06-25
Published:
2021-06-25
Contact:
LAN Anjun
摘要:
以地处岩溶槽谷区的贵州省铜仁市碧江区和万山区为研究区,以2017年土地利用变更调查数据库和2019年高分遥感影像为基础,经目视解译和野外实地调查获取撂荒耕地数据,运用热点分析揭示撂荒耕地的空间分异特征,并采用二分类Logistic回归模型分析撂荒耕地的驱动因子。结果表明:研究区耕地总体撂荒率为17.32%,旱地撂荒率比水田高,分别为23.54%和9.52%。撂荒水田的极热点区分布于西南部和东北部的城乡结合部乡镇,冷点区空间分布规律不明显;撂荒旱地的极热点区分布于西部和东北部的城乡结合部乡镇,极冷点区和冷点区主要分布于东部乡镇。水田和旱地撂荒的驱动因子大致相同,但主次有所差异。水田撂荒的驱动因子从高到低依次为地块面积>距聚落距离>坡度>灌溉距离>交通距离>高程>地块形状指数,旱地撂荒的驱动因子从高到低依次为距聚落距离>地块面积>坡度>灌溉距离>高程>交通距离>地块形状指数。总体而言,岩溶槽谷区耕地撂荒的主要驱动因子是距聚落距离,说明劳动力析出、农村空心化是影响耕地撂荒的主要原因。同时,地块面积、坡度、灌溉距离等也与耕地撂荒密切相关。
中图分类号:
施厚军, 兰安军, 易兴松, 翟香, 廖艳梅, 钟九生. 岩溶槽谷区撂荒耕地空间分异特征及其驱动因子[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2021, 33(6): 1049-1061.
SHI Houjun, LAN Anjun, YI Xingsong, ZHAI Xiang, LIAO Yanmei, ZHONG Jiusheng. Spatial differentiation characteristics and driving factors of abandoned cultivated land in Karst trough valley[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2021, 33(6): 1049-1061.
变量类别 Variable category | 指标 Variable | 含义 Connotation |
---|---|---|
因变量 Dependent variable | 耕地是否撂荒 Whether cultivated land is abandoned | 0代表未撂荒,1代表撂荒 0, Unabandoned; 1, Abandoned |
自变量 Independent variable | 高程 Elevation/m | 地块内高程的平均像元值 Average pixel value of elevation in the plot |
坡度 Slope/(°) | 地块内坡度的平均像元值 Average pixel value of slope in the plot | |
交通距离 Transportation distance/m | 地块到道路的空间距离 Spatial distance between plot and road | |
河流距离 Distance from river/m | 地块到河流的空间距离 Spatial distance from plot to river | |
距聚落距离 Distance from settlement/m | 居民点到地块的空间距离 Spatial distance between settlement and plot | |
灌溉距离 Distance from irrigation/m | 地块到灌溉渠的空间距离 Spatial distance from plot to irrigation canal | |
地块面积 Plot area/hm2 | 地块的面积大小 Size of the plot | |
地块形状指数 Plot shape index | 由式(5)计算 Calculated by formula (5) |
表1 耕地撂荒的驱动因子
Table 1 Driving factors of cultivated land abandonment
变量类别 Variable category | 指标 Variable | 含义 Connotation |
---|---|---|
因变量 Dependent variable | 耕地是否撂荒 Whether cultivated land is abandoned | 0代表未撂荒,1代表撂荒 0, Unabandoned; 1, Abandoned |
自变量 Independent variable | 高程 Elevation/m | 地块内高程的平均像元值 Average pixel value of elevation in the plot |
坡度 Slope/(°) | 地块内坡度的平均像元值 Average pixel value of slope in the plot | |
交通距离 Transportation distance/m | 地块到道路的空间距离 Spatial distance between plot and road | |
河流距离 Distance from river/m | 地块到河流的空间距离 Spatial distance from plot to river | |
距聚落距离 Distance from settlement/m | 居民点到地块的空间距离 Spatial distance between settlement and plot | |
灌溉距离 Distance from irrigation/m | 地块到灌溉渠的空间距离 Spatial distance from plot to irrigation canal | |
地块面积 Plot area/hm2 | 地块的面积大小 Size of the plot | |
地块形状指数 Plot shape index | 由式(5)计算 Calculated by formula (5) |
类型 Type | 耕地面积 Area of cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒块数 Plot number of abandoned cultivated land | 撂荒面积 Area of abandoned cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒率 Abondaonment rate/% |
---|---|---|---|---|
水田Paddy field | 14 159.93 | 2 913 | 1 347.72 | 9.52 |
旱地Dry land | 17 749.32 | 10 145 | 4 179.07 | 23.54 |
合计Total | 31 909.25 | 13 058 | 5 526.79 | 17.32 |
表2 研究区撂荒耕地面积数量
Table 2 Number and area of abandoned cultivated land in study area
类型 Type | 耕地面积 Area of cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒块数 Plot number of abandoned cultivated land | 撂荒面积 Area of abandoned cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒率 Abondaonment rate/% |
---|---|---|---|---|
水田Paddy field | 14 159.93 | 2 913 | 1 347.72 | 9.52 |
旱地Dry land | 17 749.32 | 10 145 | 4 179.07 | 23.54 |
合计Total | 31 909.25 | 13 058 | 5 526.79 | 17.32 |
图2 研究区撂荒耕地的空间分布 Ⅰ,和平乡;Ⅱ,川硐镇;Ⅲ,滑石乡;Ⅳ,云场坪镇;Ⅴ,漾头镇;Ⅵ,灯塔街道;Ⅶ,市中街道;Ⅷ,环北街道;Ⅸ,河西街道;Ⅹ,坝黄镇;Ⅺ,桐木坪乡;Ⅻ,谢桥街道;XIII,六龙山乡;XIV,瓦屋乡;XV,大坪乡;XVI,鱼塘乡;XVII,茶店街道;XVIII,高楼坪乡;XIX,万山镇;XX,敖寨乡;XXI,下溪乡;XXII,黄道乡。下同。
Fig.2 Spatial distribution of abandoned cultivated land Ⅰ, Heping Township; Ⅱ, Chuandong Town; Ⅲ, Huashi Township; Ⅳ, Yunchangping Town; Ⅴ, Yangtou Town; Ⅵ, Dengta Street; Ⅶ, Shizhong Street; Ⅷ, Huanbei Street; Ⅸ, Hexi Street; Ⅹ, Bahuang Town; Ⅺ, Tongmuping Township; Ⅻ, Xieqiao Street; XIII, Liulongshan Township; XIV, Wawu Township; XV, Daping Township; XVI, Yutang Township; XVII, Chadian Town; XVIII, Gaolouping Township; XIX, Wanshan Town; XX, Aozhai Township; XXI, Xiaxi Township; XXII, Huangdao Township. The same as below.
乡(镇、街道) Town (Township, street) | 耕地面积 Area of cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒面积 Area of abandoned cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒率 Abandonment rate/% |
---|---|---|---|
桐木坪乡Tongmuping Township | 1 209.38 | 340.28 | 28.14 |
川硐镇Chuandong Town | 1 434.61 | 385.38 | 26.86 |
云场坪镇Yunchangping Town | 389.64 | 94.67 | 24.30 |
坝黄镇Bahuang Town | 3 748.35 | 775.58 | 20.69 |
环北街道Huanbei Street | 270.04 | 54.11 | 20.04 |
河西街道Hexi Street | 437.16 | 82.67 | 18.91 |
鱼塘乡Yutang Township | 4 675.82 | 864.52 | 18.49 |
灯塔街道Dengta Street | 779.27 | 143.57 | 18.42 |
茶店街道Chadian Street | 2 529.01 | 455.31 | 18.00 |
六龙山乡Liulongshan Township | 508.97 | 91.06 | 17.89 |
万山镇Wanshan Town | 142.14 | 24.18 | 17.01 |
滑石乡Huashi Township | 2 574.01 | 436.23 | 16.95 |
大坪乡Daping Township | 3 804.84 | 589.7 | 15.50 |
漾头镇Yangtou Town | 527.38 | 81.54 | 15.46 |
高楼坪乡Gaolouping Township | 1 986.19 | 303.83 | 15.30 |
和平乡Heping Township | 1 892.27 | 286.47 | 15.14 |
谢桥街道Xieqiao Street | 913.99 | 132.12 | 14.45 |
下溪乡Xiaxi Township | 704.24 | 101.23 | 14.37 |
瓦屋乡Wawu Township | 856.98 | 99.67 | 11.63 |
敖寨乡Aozhai Township | 921.89 | 77.7 | 8.43 |
黄道乡Huangdao Township | 1 602.28 | 106.96 | 6.68 |
市中街道Shizhong Street | 0.82 | 0 | 0 |
表3 各乡(镇、街道)的耕地面积与撂荒率
Table 3 Area and rate of abandoned cultivated land by towns (townships, streets)
乡(镇、街道) Town (Township, street) | 耕地面积 Area of cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒面积 Area of abandoned cultivated land/hm2 | 撂荒率 Abandonment rate/% |
---|---|---|---|
桐木坪乡Tongmuping Township | 1 209.38 | 340.28 | 28.14 |
川硐镇Chuandong Town | 1 434.61 | 385.38 | 26.86 |
云场坪镇Yunchangping Town | 389.64 | 94.67 | 24.30 |
坝黄镇Bahuang Town | 3 748.35 | 775.58 | 20.69 |
环北街道Huanbei Street | 270.04 | 54.11 | 20.04 |
河西街道Hexi Street | 437.16 | 82.67 | 18.91 |
鱼塘乡Yutang Township | 4 675.82 | 864.52 | 18.49 |
灯塔街道Dengta Street | 779.27 | 143.57 | 18.42 |
茶店街道Chadian Street | 2 529.01 | 455.31 | 18.00 |
六龙山乡Liulongshan Township | 508.97 | 91.06 | 17.89 |
万山镇Wanshan Town | 142.14 | 24.18 | 17.01 |
滑石乡Huashi Township | 2 574.01 | 436.23 | 16.95 |
大坪乡Daping Township | 3 804.84 | 589.7 | 15.50 |
漾头镇Yangtou Town | 527.38 | 81.54 | 15.46 |
高楼坪乡Gaolouping Township | 1 986.19 | 303.83 | 15.30 |
和平乡Heping Township | 1 892.27 | 286.47 | 15.14 |
谢桥街道Xieqiao Street | 913.99 | 132.12 | 14.45 |
下溪乡Xiaxi Township | 704.24 | 101.23 | 14.37 |
瓦屋乡Wawu Township | 856.98 | 99.67 | 11.63 |
敖寨乡Aozhai Township | 921.89 | 77.7 | 8.43 |
黄道乡Huangdao Township | 1 602.28 | 106.96 | 6.68 |
市中街道Shizhong Street | 0.82 | 0 | 0 |
自变量 Independent variable | β | Wald χ2 | P | 发生比率 Odds ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
高程Elevation | 0.038 | 7.401 | <0.01 | 0.999 |
坡度Slope | 0.076 | 37.569 | <0.01 | 0.979 |
交通距离Transportation distance | 0.039 | 15.437 | <0.01 | 0.973 |
河流距离Distance from river | 0 | 23.367 | 0.064 | 1.000 |
距聚落距离Distance from settlement | 0.045 | 46.824 | <0.01 | 1.231 |
灌溉距离Distance from irrigation | 0.001 | 24.587 | <0.01 | 1.022 |
地块面积Plot area | -0.026 | 60.302 | <0.01 | 0.999 |
地块形状指数Plot shape index | 0.239 | 6.953 | <0.01 | 1.043 |
常量Constant | 0.912 | 4.643 | 0.028 | 1.879 |
表4 水田撂荒的Logistic回归模型相关系数
Table 4 Correlation coefficients of Logistic regression model of abandoned paddy field
自变量 Independent variable | β | Wald χ2 | P | 发生比率 Odds ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
高程Elevation | 0.038 | 7.401 | <0.01 | 0.999 |
坡度Slope | 0.076 | 37.569 | <0.01 | 0.979 |
交通距离Transportation distance | 0.039 | 15.437 | <0.01 | 0.973 |
河流距离Distance from river | 0 | 23.367 | 0.064 | 1.000 |
距聚落距离Distance from settlement | 0.045 | 46.824 | <0.01 | 1.231 |
灌溉距离Distance from irrigation | 0.001 | 24.587 | <0.01 | 1.022 |
地块面积Plot area | -0.026 | 60.302 | <0.01 | 0.999 |
地块形状指数Plot shape index | 0.239 | 6.953 | <0.01 | 1.043 |
常量Constant | 0.912 | 4.643 | 0.028 | 1.879 |
自变量 Independent variable | β | Wald χ2 | P | 发生比率 Odds ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
高程Elevation | 0.021 | 29.004 | <0.01 | 0.989 |
坡度Slope | 0.061 | 43.101 | <0.01 | 0.934 |
交通距离Transportation distance | 0.022 | 14.078 | <0.01 | 0.986 |
河流距离Distance from river | 0 | 5.146 | 0.069 | 1.000 |
距聚落距离Distance from settlement | 0.084 | 71.091 | <0.01 | 1.032 |
灌溉距离Distance from irrigation | 0.003 | 32.503 | <0.01 | 1.014 |
地块面积Plot area | -0.001 | 62.213 | <0.01 | 0.999 |
地块形状指数Plot shape index | 0.147 | 11.981 | <0.01 | 1.013 |
常量Constant | 0.866 | 6.124 | 0.031 | 1.908 |
表5 旱地撂荒的Logistic回归模型相关系数
Table 5 Correlation coefficient of Logistic regression model of abandoned dry land
自变量 Independent variable | β | Wald χ2 | P | 发生比率 Odds ratio |
---|---|---|---|---|
高程Elevation | 0.021 | 29.004 | <0.01 | 0.989 |
坡度Slope | 0.061 | 43.101 | <0.01 | 0.934 |
交通距离Transportation distance | 0.022 | 14.078 | <0.01 | 0.986 |
河流距离Distance from river | 0 | 5.146 | 0.069 | 1.000 |
距聚落距离Distance from settlement | 0.084 | 71.091 | <0.01 | 1.032 |
灌溉距离Distance from irrigation | 0.003 | 32.503 | <0.01 | 1.014 |
地块面积Plot area | -0.001 | 62.213 | <0.01 | 0.999 |
地块形状指数Plot shape index | 0.147 | 11.981 | <0.01 | 1.013 |
常量Constant | 0.866 | 6.124 | 0.031 | 1.908 |
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[1] | 赵婷婷;张凤荣;*;杜颖;姜广辉. 大城市近郊建设用地扩展空间分异及驱动力研究 ——以北京市顺义区为例[J]. , 2013, 25(3): 0-554. |
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