基于复杂系统的柑橘产业链脆弱性研究

›› 2011, Vol. 23 ›› Issue (1): 164-169.

基于复杂系统的柑橘产业链脆弱性研究

杨年芳，严奉宪

华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉 430070

收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2011-01-25 发布日期:2011-01-25

The vulnerability analysis and evaluation index system study of the citrus industry chain based on the complex systems

YANG Nian-fang;YAN Feng-xian

College of Economics and Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China

Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2011-01-25 Published:2011-01-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 中国是柑橘生产大国,然而,在以2008年四川广元蛆柑事件为代表的一系列外部事件的冲击下,柑橘产业链表现出较强的脆弱性,研究柑橘产业链的脆弱性对于柑橘产业的发展具有重要的意义。产业链是一个复杂系统,对于产业链脆弱性的研究是一个全新的、值得进行深入研究的领域。文章以复杂系统的脆性模型为基础,以产业链脆弱性的内涵及概念为切入点,分析产业链脆弱性的影响因素,提炼其脆性因子,并构建出柑橘产业链脆弱性的评价指标体系。

关键词: 柑橘产业链, 复杂系统, 脆弱性, 评价指标体系

Abstract: China is a big citrus\|producing country. However, the citrus industry chain showed strong vulnerability under the impact of a series of external events such as Guangyuan fruitfly event in Sichuan Province in 2008.It showed important significance to study the vulnerability of citrus industry chain. Industry chain is a very complicated system, and the research on the vulnerability of the industry chain is still a very new field. Thus, study on the effect of vulnerability of citrus industry chain on the development of citrus industry was quite important. This paper was based on the brittle model of complex system, and the concept and connotation of the industry chain vulnerability were the entry points. The influencing factors of the internal instability of citrus industry chain were analyzed, and its brittleness factors were refined. Finally, the evaluation index system of citrus industry chain vulnerability were constructed．

Key words: citrus industry chain, complex systems, vulnerability, evaluation index system

杨年芳;严奉宪. 基于复杂系统的柑橘产业链脆弱性研究[J]. , 2011, 23(1): 164-169.

YANG Nian-fang;YAN Feng-xian . The vulnerability analysis and evaluation index system study of the citrus industry chain based on the complex systems[J]. , 2011, 23(1): 164-169.