乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调度的测度与影响因素研究

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.20221598

浙江农业学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (10): 2477-2489.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.20221598

乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调度的测度与影响因素研究

李俊蓉¹(), 林荣日²^,^*()

1.电子科技大学公共管理学院,四川成都 611731
2.复旦大学高等教育研究所,上海 200433

收稿日期:2022-11-09 出版日期:2023-10-25 发布日期:2023-10-31
作者简介:李俊蓉(1996—),女,四川宜宾人,博士研究生,主要从事公共经济、乡村治理方面的研究。E-mail: 1451067776@qq.com
通讯作者: ^*林荣日,E-mail:rrlin@fudan.edu.cn
基金资助:
国家社会科学基金教育学一般项目(BFA180074)

Measurement and influencing factors of coupling coordination degree between rural revitalization and new urbanization in China

LI Junrong¹(), LIN Rongri²^,^*()

1. School of Public Administration, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 611731, China
2. Research Institute for Higher Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China

Received:2022-11-09 Online:2023-10-25 Published:2023-10-31

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为分析我国乡村振兴与新型城镇化在协同发展过程中的基本现状和存在的问题,构建乡村振兴与新型城镇化协调发展评价指标体系,从时间和空间维度对我国乡村振兴与新型城镇化的耦合协调度展开分析,用Tobit计量方法分析影响乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调度的主要因素。结果显示,整体上我国乡村振兴与新型城镇化的耦合协调度逐年上升,但仍存在提升空间,区域差异较为明显,大多数省份处于基本协调状态,处于失调状态的省份主要位于西部。人力资本、财政支农水平、开放程度、农业机械化水平、创新水平对乡村振兴与新型城镇化的耦合协调度有显著影响,其中,农业机械化水平的影响最大。人力资本、财政支农水平对西部的影响较大,农村物流业水平、农业机械化水平、创新水平对东部的影响较大。

关键词: 乡村振兴, 新型城镇化, 耦合协调度, 影响因素

Abstract:

In order to explore the current situation and problems in the coordinated development of rural revitalization and new urbanization, the evaluation index system of coordinated development of rural revitalization and new urbanization was constructed, the coupling coordination degree of rural revitalization and new urbanization was measured from temporal and spatial dimensions, and the main factors affecting the coupling coordination degree of rural revitalization and new urbanization were explored via Tobit method. It was shown that the coupling coordination degree of rural revitalization and new urbanization increased year by year on the whole, with obvious regional difference. For the coordinated development of rural revitalization and new urbanization, the majority of provincial-level administrative regions reached the basic coordination state, while those in the imbalance state were mainly located in the west region.Human capital, fiscal support for agriculture, openness degree, rural mechanization level, level of innovative development showed significant effect on the coupling coordination degree of rural revitalization and new urbanization. Among them, rural mechanization level had the biggest impact. In the west region, human capital, fiscal support for agriculture had bigger influence, while in the east region, the effects of logistics level in rural area, rural mechanization level, level of innovative development were bigger.

Key words: rural vitalization, new urbanization, coupling coordination degree, influencing factors

中图分类号:

F327
F299.27

李俊蓉, 林荣日. 乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调度的测度与影响因素研究[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2023, 35(10): 2477-2489.

LI Junrong, LIN Rongri. Measurement and influencing factors of coupling coordination degree between rural revitalization and new urbanization in China[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2023, 35(10): 2477-2489.

图/表 8

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系统 System		一级指标 Primary index	二级指标 Secondary index	含义 Meaning	方向 Direction	权重 Weight
乡村振兴 Rural revitalization		产业兴旺 Industrial prosperity	人均粮食产量 Per capita output of grain/t	粮食总产量/总人口 Total food production/total population	+	0.057 5
			第一产业占GDP比重 Proportion of first industry in GDP/%	第一产业产值/GDP总量 Output of the first industry/GDP	+	0.036 1
			人均农林牧渔业产值 Per capita output of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery/yuan	农林牧渔总产值/农村户籍总人口 Gross output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery/total population registered in rural area	+	0.032 3
		生态宜居 Ecological livable	农村卫生厕所普及率 Penetration rate of sanitation facilities in rural areas/%	农村卫生厕所普及率 Penetration rate of sanitation facilities in rural area	+	0.044 5
			农村人均太阳能利用面积 Per capita solar power utilization area in rural areas/m²	太阳能利用面积/农村户籍总人口 Solar power utilization area/total population registered in rural area	+	0.134 1
			农村每万人拥有养老机构个数 Number of old-age care institutions per 10 000 persons in rural areas	农村养老机构数量/农村户籍总人口 Number of old-age care institutions in rural area/total population registered in rural area	+	0.050 3
		乡风文明 Rural civilization	乡村中学专任教师数量 Number of full-time teachers in rural secondary schools	乡村中学专任教师数量 Number of full-time teachers in rural secondary schools	+	0.069 5
			农民家庭教育文化娱乐支出占比 Proportion of farmer’s expenditure on education, culture and entertaiment/%	农村人均教育文化娱乐支出/人均消费支出 Rural per capita expenditure on education, culture and entertainment/per capita consumption expenditure	+	0.015 6
			农村每万人文化站数量 Number of cultural stations per 10 000 persons in rural areas	农村文化站数量/农村户籍总人口 Number of cultural stations in rual area/total population registered in rural area	+	0.047 7
	治理有效 Effective governance		建制村数量 Number of administrative villages	省级行政区内的建制村数量 Number of administrative villages within provincial-level administrative regions	+	0.078 3
	生活富裕 Prosperity		城乡收入差距指数 Urban-rural income gap index/%	城镇居民人均可支配收入/农村居民人均纯收入 Per capita disposable income of urban residents/per capita net income of rural residents	-	0.031 4
			农村居民恩格尔系数 Engel coefficient of rural residents/%	农村人均食物支出/农村人均消费支出 Rural per capita expdentiture on food/rural per capita consumption expenditure	-	0.020 4
			农村人均纯收入 Rural net income per capita/yuan	农村居民人均纯收入 Per capita net income of rural residents	+	0.068 0
新型城镇化 New urbanization	人口指标 Population indicators		城镇人口占比 Proportion of urban population/%	城镇人口/总人口 Urban population/total population	+	0.026 7
			城镇人口密度 Urban population density/m^-2	城市人口/城市面积 Urban population/urban area	+	0.040 2
	经济指标 Economic indicators		城镇人均可支配收入 Urban per capita disposable income/yuan	城镇居民人均可支配收入 Per capita disposable income of rural residents	+	0.073 3
			第二三产业占GDP的比重 Proportion of secondary and tertiary industries in GDP/%	二三产业产值/地区生产总值 Output of the secondary and tertiary industries/GDP	+	0.015 6
	社会指标 Social indicators		人均城市道路面积 Per capita urban road area/m²	城市道路总面积/城镇人口 Total urban road area/urban population	+	0.025 0
			城市用水普及率 Urban water penetration rate/%	城市用水普及率 Urban water penetration rate	+	0.045 4
	生态指标 Ecological indicators		建成区绿化覆盖率 Green coverage rate in built-up areas/%	建成区绿化覆盖率 Green coverage rate in built-up area	+	0.016 5
			生活垃圾无害化处理率 Harmless treatment rate of domestic waste/%	生活垃圾无害化处理率 Harmless treatment rate of domestic waste	+	0.024 8
			城市污水集中处理率 Urban sewage centralized treatment rate/%	城市污水集中处理率 Urban sewage centralized treatment rate	+	0.009 6
			城市人均公园绿地面积 Urban per capita park and green area/m²	公园绿地面积/城镇人口 Park and green area/urban population	+	0.037 3

系统 System		一级指标 Primary index	二级指标 Secondary index	含义 Meaning	方向 Direction	权重 Weight
乡村振兴 Rural revitalization		产业兴旺 Industrial prosperity	人均粮食产量 Per capita output of grain/t	粮食总产量/总人口 Total food production/total population	+	0.057 5
			第一产业占GDP比重 Proportion of first industry in GDP/%	第一产业产值/GDP总量 Output of the first industry/GDP	+	0.036 1
			人均农林牧渔业产值 Per capita output of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery/yuan	农林牧渔总产值/农村户籍总人口 Gross output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery/total population registered in rural area	+	0.032 3
		生态宜居 Ecological livable	农村卫生厕所普及率 Penetration rate of sanitation facilities in rural areas/%	农村卫生厕所普及率 Penetration rate of sanitation facilities in rural area	+	0.044 5
			农村人均太阳能利用面积 Per capita solar power utilization area in rural areas/m²	太阳能利用面积/农村户籍总人口 Solar power utilization area/total population registered in rural area	+	0.134 1
			农村每万人拥有养老机构个数 Number of old-age care institutions per 10 000 persons in rural areas	农村养老机构数量/农村户籍总人口 Number of old-age care institutions in rural area/total population registered in rural area	+	0.050 3
		乡风文明 Rural civilization	乡村中学专任教师数量 Number of full-time teachers in rural secondary schools	乡村中学专任教师数量 Number of full-time teachers in rural secondary schools	+	0.069 5
			农民家庭教育文化娱乐支出占比 Proportion of farmer’s expenditure on education, culture and entertaiment/%	农村人均教育文化娱乐支出/人均消费支出 Rural per capita expenditure on education, culture and entertainment/per capita consumption expenditure	+	0.015 6
			农村每万人文化站数量 Number of cultural stations per 10 000 persons in rural areas	农村文化站数量/农村户籍总人口 Number of cultural stations in rual area/total population registered in rural area	+	0.047 7
	治理有效 Effective governance		建制村数量 Number of administrative villages	省级行政区内的建制村数量 Number of administrative villages within provincial-level administrative regions	+	0.078 3
	生活富裕 Prosperity		城乡收入差距指数 Urban-rural income gap index/%	城镇居民人均可支配收入/农村居民人均纯收入 Per capita disposable income of urban residents/per capita net income of rural residents	-	0.031 4
			农村居民恩格尔系数 Engel coefficient of rural residents/%	农村人均食物支出/农村人均消费支出 Rural per capita expdentiture on food/rural per capita consumption expenditure	-	0.020 4
			农村人均纯收入 Rural net income per capita/yuan	农村居民人均纯收入 Per capita net income of rural residents	+	0.068 0
新型城镇化 New urbanization	人口指标 Population indicators		城镇人口占比 Proportion of urban population/%	城镇人口/总人口 Urban population/total population	+	0.026 7
			城镇人口密度 Urban population density/m^-2	城市人口/城市面积 Urban population/urban area	+	0.040 2
	经济指标 Economic indicators		城镇人均可支配收入 Urban per capita disposable income/yuan	城镇居民人均可支配收入 Per capita disposable income of rural residents	+	0.073 3
			第二三产业占GDP的比重 Proportion of secondary and tertiary industries in GDP/%	二三产业产值/地区生产总值 Output of the secondary and tertiary industries/GDP	+	0.015 6
	社会指标 Social indicators		人均城市道路面积 Per capita urban road area/m²	城市道路总面积/城镇人口 Total urban road area/urban population	+	0.025 0
			城市用水普及率 Urban water penetration rate/%	城市用水普及率 Urban water penetration rate	+	0.045 4
	生态指标 Ecological indicators		建成区绿化覆盖率 Green coverage rate in built-up areas/%	建成区绿化覆盖率 Green coverage rate in built-up area	+	0.016 5
			生活垃圾无害化处理率 Harmless treatment rate of domestic waste/%	生活垃圾无害化处理率 Harmless treatment rate of domestic waste	+	0.024 8
			城市污水集中处理率 Urban sewage centralized treatment rate/%	城市污水集中处理率 Urban sewage centralized treatment rate	+	0.009 6
			城市人均公园绿地面积 Urban per capita park and green area/m²	公园绿地面积/城镇人口 Park and green area/urban population	+	0.037 3

变量类别 Variable category	变量符号 Variable symbol	变量名称 Variable name	样本量 Sample size	平均值 Mean	标准差 Standard deviation	最小值 Minimum	最大值 Maximum
被解释变量	D	耦合协调度Coupling coordination degree	310	0.425 7	0.040 6	0.323 6	0.506 8
Explained variable
解释变量	X₁	人力资本Human capital	310	18.236 1	0.756 5	15.98 9	20.929 0
Explanatory variable	X₂	财政支农水平Fiscal support for agriculture	310	11.610 0	3.363 2	4.109 7	20.384
	X₃	开放程度Openness degree	310	0.261 3	0.293 3	0.007 6	1.548 1
	X₄	农村物流业水平Logistics level in rural area	310	13.998 9	9.660 6	0.102 8	43.429 8
	X₅	农业机械化水平Rural mechanization level	310	0.331 9	0.292 4	0.009 4	1.335 4
	X₆	创新水平Level of innovative development	310	5.672 8	8.850 8	0.012 1	70.972 5

变量类别 Variable category	变量符号 Variable symbol	变量名称 Variable name	样本量 Sample size	平均值 Mean	标准差 Standard deviation	最小值 Minimum	最大值 Maximum
被解释变量	D	耦合协调度Coupling coordination degree	310	0.425 7	0.040 6	0.323 6	0.506 8
Explained variable
解释变量	X₁	人力资本Human capital	310	18.236 1	0.756 5	15.98 9	20.929 0
Explanatory variable	X₂	财政支农水平Fiscal support for agriculture	310	11.610 0	3.363 2	4.109 7	20.384
	X₃	开放程度Openness degree	310	0.261 3	0.293 3	0.007 6	1.548 1
	X₄	农村物流业水平Logistics level in rural area	310	13.998 9	9.660 6	0.102 8	43.429 8
	X₅	农业机械化水平Rural mechanization level	310	0.331 9	0.292 4	0.009 4	1.335 4
	X₆	创新水平Level of innovative development	310	5.672 8	8.850 8	0.012 1	70.972 5

年份 Year	乡村振兴综合发展指数 Comprehensive development index of rural revitalization	新型城镇化综合发展指数 Comprehensive development index of new urbanization
2011	0.214 3	0.147 2
2012	0.220 4	0.161 7
2013	0.224 5	0.153 7
2014	0.220 3	0.152 3
2015	0.218 0	0.154 7
2016	0.216 3	0.160 6
2017	0.213 9	0.157 2
2018	0.203 1	0.164 1
2019	0.218 1	0.156 3
2020	0.222 7	0.164 1

乡村振兴与新型城镇化耦合协调度的测度与影响因素研究

Measurement and influencing factors of coupling coordination degree between rural revitalization and new urbanization in China

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省级行政区	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019	2020
Provincial-level administrative region
北京Beijing	0.478 6	0.487 2	0.501 8	0.493 5	0.489 8	0.494 4	0.496 8	0.472 1	0.464 7	0.454 1
天津Tianjin	0.447 2	0.450 3	0.452 4	0.437 7	0.435 8	0.434 0	0.445 0	0.430 5	0.428 7	0.428 4
河北Hebei	0.451 5	0.451 3	0.450 6	0.451 6	0.457 0	0.454 2	0.449 1	0.454 5	0.455 5	0.462 7
山西Shanxi	0.405 4	0.415 6	0.417 9	0.420 4	0.417 4	0.415 7	0.400 5	0.405 0	0.404 7	0.408 5
内蒙古Inner Mongolia	0.399 3	0.429 1	0.423 6	0.437 2	0.427 8	0.443 9	0.443 1	0.440 4	0.443 5	0.449 2
辽宁Liaoning	0.412 3	0.429 7	0.430 8	0.424 3	0.420 5	0.412 3	0.414 8	0.409 7	0.406 7	0.417 0
吉林Jilin	0.389 0	0.413 4	0.404 7	0.403 2	0.406 9	0.417 2	0.399 7	0.388 6	0.355 3	0.399 2
黑龙江Heilongjiang	0.398 7	0.432 9	0.427 0	0.423 3	0.435 9	0.433 5	0.424 6	0.421 7	0.427 0	0.438 5
上海Shanghai	0.472 1	0.478 5	0.487 2	0.484 6	0.481 6	0.483 5	0.478 6	0.485 5	0.485 1	0.480 6
江苏Jiangsu	0.472 7	0.480 2	0.477 1	0.481 7	0.493 5	0.486 7	0.487 5	0.485 7	0.490 1	0.490 3
浙江Zhejiang	0.481 5	0.484 0	0.493 8	0.493 7	0.489 3	0.489 9	0.491 8	0.488 9	0.487 0	0.483 7
安徽Anhui	0.425 0	0.438 2	0.440 5	0.426 5	0.437 7	0.438 9	0.439 5	0.441 4	0.442 3	0.455 0
福建Fujian	0.437 0	0.446 7	0.445 4	0.426 7	0.430 1	0.430 6	0.432 7	0.431 5	0.441 5	0.439 8
江西Jiangxi	0.444 8	0.455 5	0.448 2	0.449 5	0.449 5	0.451 1	0.450 1	0.457 7	0.455 3	0.466 9
山东Shandong	0.497 6	0.500 1	0.501 2	0.500 6	0.506 8	0.496 4	0.493 2	0.489 8	0.490 5	0.494 2
河南Henan	0.430 1	0.451 9	0.432 5	0.444 4	0.453 6	0.460 0	0.449 1	0.459 3	0.459 7	0.471 7
湖北Hubei	0.421 2	0.429 3	0.433 2	0.434 6	0.432 9	0.432 2	0.434 2	0.434 3	0.436 3	0.439 9
湖南Hunan	0.422 0	0.436 6	0.432 7	0.419 2	0.439 1	0.444 8	0.429 8	0.431 8	0.439 7	0.454 2
广东Guangdong	0.437 0	0.446 2	0.439 5	0.431 5	0.440 3	0.441 2	0.437 3	0.444 2	0.450 0	0.443 3
广西Guangxi	0.368 3	0.389 1	0.380 9	0.379 3	0.386 7	0.386 8	0.381 9	0.384 0	0.394 0	0.403 5
海南Hainan	0.453 2	0.463 7	0.460 7	0.461 5	0.448 0	0.447 7	0.445 5	0.435 1	0.434 4	0.437 9
重庆Chongqing	0.415 7	0.431 2	0.414 4	0.394 7	0.382 7	0.394 3	0.388 8	0.390 2	0.373 8	0.357 9
四川Sichuan	0.415 2	0.440 7	0.409 3	0.398 5	0.410 7	0.428 9	0.412 5	0.423 0	0.422 3	0.436 0
贵州Guizhou	0.328 9	0.361 5	0.350 6	0.345 2	0.363 9	0.383 1	0.373 0	0.375 5	0.382 6	0.397 5
云南Yunnan	0.373 9	0.396 6	0.382 9	0.395 6	0.385 9	0.397 3	0.388 4	0.394 1	0.395 0	0.413 9
西藏Xizang	0.326 0	0.333 9	0.371 7	0.357 1	0.351 2	0.338 2	0.323 6	0.331 9	0.350 2	0.403 2
陕西Shaanxi	0.413 2	0.420 2	0.408 1	0.409 4	0.396 5	0.401 1	0.378 4	0.379 7	0.383 6	0.396 5
甘肃Gansu	0.339 8	0.375 5	0.357 9	0.360 1	0.370 5	0.382 8	0.393 8	0.388 1	0.380 8	0.393 9
青海Qinghai	0.371 9	0.377 7	0.362 6	0.352 6	0.333 1	0.344 0	0.345 4	0.337 6	0.356 2	0.364 9
宁夏Ningxia	0.373 6	0.378 1	0.379 9	0.391 3	0.385 7	0.410 3	0.409 6	0.428 6	0.440 2	0.454 2
新疆Xinjiang	0.419 1	0.427 5	0.413 6	0.403 1	0.392 2	0.394 9	0.404 7	0.384 8	0.410 1	0.419 0
东部East region	0.458 2	0.465 2	0.467 3	0.462 5	0.463 0	0.4610	0.461 1	0.4571	0.457 7	0.457 8
中部Central region	0.417 0	0.434 2	0.429 6	0.427 6	0.434 1	0.436 7	0.428 5	0.430 0	0.427 5	0.441 7
西部West region	0.378 7	0.396 8	0.387 9	0.385 3	0.382 3	0.392 1	0.386 9	0.388 2	0.394 4	0.407 5
全国National	0.416 8	0.430 7	0.426 9	0.423 6	0.424 3	0.428 1	0.424 0	0.423 4	0.425 4	0.434 1

省级行政区	2011	2016	2020
Provincial-level administrative region
北京Beijing	0.884 7	0.942 1	1.126 1
天津Tianjin	1.091 1	1.021 5	1.075 2
河北Hebei	0.628 1	0.624 3	0.666 4
山西Shanxi	0.662 5	0.865 3	1.087 8
内蒙古Inner mongolia	0.671 9	0.960 2	0.796 6
辽宁Liaoning	0.811 1	0.710 7	0.813 1
吉林Jilin	0.423 8	0.513 3	0.413 6
黑龙江Heilongjiang	0.431 2	0.547 3	0.570 3
上海Shanghai	0.913 2	0.953 8	0.903 5
江苏Jiangsu	0.812 5	0.749 4	0.705 2
浙江Zhejiang	0.808 5	0.754 5	0.786 7
安徽Anhui	0.648 6	0.754 7	0.677 5
福建Fujian	0.908 2	0.953 4	1.019 3
江西Jiangxi	0.744 9	0.758 7	0.669 9
山东Shandong	0.607 3	0.607 9	0.574 1
河南Henan	0.423 4	0.529 8	0.518 3
湖北Hubei	0.557 5	0.611 6	0.637 3
湖南Hunan	0.507 8	0.632 9	0.628 7
广东Guangdong	1.128 8	1.094 8	1.048 0
广西Guangxi	0.699 8	0.744 9	0.737 8
海南Hainan	0.487 7	0.457 3	0.443 3
重庆Chongqing	0.866 6	1.124 9	0.650 3
四川Sichuan	0.440 5	0.575 3	0.615 3
贵州Guizhou	0.599 2	0.787 0	0.828 0
云南Yunnan	0.761 8	0.731 2	0.599 3
西藏Xizang	0.336 5	0.366 9	0.605 7
陕西Shaanxi	0.973 9	1.050 2	1.041 7
甘肃Gansu	0.426 8	0.752 1	0.794 6
青海Qinghai	0.913 8	1.048 4	1.002 3
宁夏Ningxia	0.978 7	0.892 9	0.833 4
新疆Xinjiang	0.698 5	0.687 5	0.857 3

变量 Variable	全样本 Whole sample	东部 East region	中部 Central region	西部 West region
X₁	0.022 5^***	0.004 4	0.001 0^*	0.016 2^***
	(0.002 5)	(0.003 6)	(0.008 7)	(0.004 8)
X₂	0.000 7^*	0.002 6^***	0.001 2	0.004 0^***
	(0.006 3)	(0.001 0)	(0.000 9)	(0.001 0)
X₃	0.045 1^***	0.047 6^***	0.014 8^**	0.047 0
	(0.007 9)	(0.007 0)	(0.061 6)	(0.032 9)
X₄	0.000 4	0.003 5^***	-1.88×10^-6	0.002 4^***
	(0.000 2)	(0.000 3)	(0.000 3)	(0.000 8)
X₅	0.055 7^***	0.063 7^***	0.020 5^***	-0.017 5
	(0.006 5)	(0.007 6)	(0.007 2)	(0.032 4)
X₆	0.000 8^***	0.005 2^***	0.003 2^***	0.001 9
	(0.000 2)	(0.000 2)	(0.000 8)	(0.001 3)
常数项	-0.032 7	0.322 0^***	0.388 0^**	0.020 1
Constant	(0.048 8)	(0.073 6)	(0.163 0)	(0.082 8)
n	310	110	80	120

变量 Variable	样本1 Sample 1	样本2 Sample 2	样本3 Sample 3
X₁	0.023 5^***	0.019 4^***	0.019 9^***
	(0.003 8)	(0.003 0)	(0.003 9)
X₂	0.000 4	<0.000 1	0.001 0
	(0.001 0)	(0.000 8)	(0.001 0)
X₃	0.038 2^***	0.047 4^***	0.046 5^***
	(0.011 9)	(0.009 3)	(0.012 0)
X₄	0.000 5	0.000 4	0.000 6
	(0.000 4)	(0.000 3)	(0.000 4)
X₅	0.061 4^***	0.058 9^***	0.039 0^***
	(0.009 8)	(0.007 7)	(0.010 0)
X₆	0.000 2	0.001 3^***	0.001 3^***
	(0.000 3)	(0.000 3)	(0.000 3)
常数项Constant	-0.062 2	0.029 7	0.025 2
	(0.073 7)	(0.057 8)	(0.074 7)
伪决定系数	0.454 2	0.442 9	0.427 6
Pseudo R²
n	310	310	310

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