基于BIOCLIM模型的石蒜绵粉蚧在中国的适生区分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2019.08.14

浙江农业学报 ›› 2019, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (8): 1331-1336.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2019.08.14

基于BIOCLIM模型的石蒜绵粉蚧在中国的适生区分析

黄芳^1,2, 张文俊³, 张建成⁴, 吴志毅^1,*

1.浙江省检验检疫科学技术研究院,浙江杭州 310016;
2.湖州海关,浙江湖州 313010;
3.台州海关,浙江台州 318000;
4.嘉兴海关,浙江嘉兴 314001

收稿日期:2019-01-24 出版日期:2019-08-25 发布日期:2019-08-30
通讯作者: 吴志毅,E-mail: wzy@ziq.jov.cn
作者简介:黄芳(1981-),女,浙江云和人,博士,副研究员,研究方向为害虫综合防治。E-mail:huangfang_ch@hotmail.com
基金资助:
国家重点研发计划(2016YFF0203202); 湖州市自然科学资金(2018YZ14)

Prediction of potential distribution of Phenacocccus solani in China by BIOCLIM model

HUANG Fang^1,2, ZHANG Wenjun³, ZHANG Jiancheng⁴, WU Zhiyi^1,*

1. Zhejiang Academy of Science & Technology for Inspection & Quarantine, Hangzhou 310016, China;
2. Huzhou Custom, Huzhou 313010, China;
3. Taizhou Custom, Taizhou 318000, China;
4. Jiaxing Custom, Jiaxing 314001, China

Received:2019-01-24 Online:2019-08-25 Published:2019-08-30

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于BIOCLIM模型对石蒜绵粉蚧(Phenacoccus solani)在中国的适生区进行预测并通过ROC曲线法对模型的可靠性进行评价。结果表明,预测模型可靠,石蒜绵粉蚧在中国的适生性区域广泛,高度适生区为江淮、黄淮及长江中下游,包括海南、贵州、四川、广西、广东、湖南、湖北、河南、河北南部、安徽、江西、福建、浙江等省区。中低度适生区为西南大部、西北部分及东北南部,包括云南、新疆、西藏、甘肃、宁夏、内蒙古、陕西、辽宁等部分区域。

关键词: 石蒜绵粉蚧, 地理分布, BIOCLIM模型

Abstract: The potential geographic distribution of Phenacoccus solani in China was predicted in BIOCLIM mode and the prediction was evaluated by ROC. The results showed that the prediction should be reliable, and P. solani could colonize in most parts of China. The high probable occurrence areas covered Huanghuai region, Jianghuai region and the lower-middle reaches of Yangtze-river basin, including provinces of Hainan, Guizhou, Sichuan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Hunan, Hubei, Henan, Hebei, Anhui, Jiangxi, Fujian, Zhejiang. Other probable occurrence areas involved southwest, northwest and northeast of China, including Yunnan, Xinjiang, Tibet, Gansu, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Liaoning.

Key words: Phenacoccus solani, geographical distribution, BIOCLIM model

中图分类号:

S41-30

黄芳, 张文俊, 张建成, 吴志毅. 基于BIOCLIM模型的石蒜绵粉蚧在中国的适生区分析[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2019, 31(8): 1331-1336.

HUANG Fang, ZHANG Wenjun, ZHANG Jiancheng, WU Zhiyi. Prediction of potential distribution of Phenacocccus solani in China by BIOCLIM model[J]. , 2019, 31(8): 1331-1336.

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基于BIOCLIM模型的石蒜绵粉蚧在中国的适生区分析

Prediction of potential distribution of Phenacocccus solani in China by BIOCLIM model

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