Can Climate-Smart Agriculture Project reduce agricultural carbon emission: experience evidence from Climate-Smart Staple Crop Production Project in Anhui, China

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2023.03.21

Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 676-687.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2023.03.21

• Agricultural Economy and Development • Previous Articles Next Articles

Can Climate-Smart Agriculture Project reduce agricultural carbon emission: experience evidence from Climate-Smart Staple Crop Production Project in Anhui, China

WEI Xinyan¹^,²(), LIU Ying³^,^*(), ZHANG Junbiao¹^,²

1. College of Economics and Management, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan 430070, China
2. Hubei Rural Development Research Center, Wuhan 430070, China
3. School of Economics and Management, North China University of Technology, Beijing 100144, China

Received:2022-02-23 Online:2023-03-25 Published:2023-04-07

Abstract

Abstract:

Based on the panel data of 23 counties in Anhui, China during 2011-2019, under the guidance of Joseph Schumpeter’s innovation theory and Baud’s innovation-driven theory, the synthetic control method was adopted to evaluate the effects of the Climate-Smart Staple Crop Production Project on agricultural carbon emissions in Huaiyuan County and to explore the corresponding action mechanism. It was shown that the Climate-Smart Staple Crop Production Project had certain time lag effect on agricultural carbon emission, as it did not inhibit the per capita agricultural carbon emissions in Huaiyuan County in the initial stage, but it effectively suppressed per capita agricultural carbon emissions in Huaiyuan County from 2016 to 2019. It was calculated that the average annual decline of per capita agricultural carbon emissions was 1.977 6 kg (or 1.43%) in Huaiyuan County during 2015-2019. The intermediary test results showed that the project had promoted the innovation of agricultural development pattern by using modern technology and ideas, and had produced structural and technological effects through innovation, by promoting the structural transformation and upgrading of agriculture in Huaiyuan County and the development of biochemical technologies. Thus, the agricultural carbon emissions in Huaiyuan County has been curbed.

Key words: agricultural carbon emission, climate smart agriculture, synthetic control method, Huaiyuan County, innovation theory, innovation-driven theory

CLC Number:

WEI Xinyan, LIU Ying, ZHANG Junbiao. Can Climate-Smart Agriculture Project reduce agricultural carbon emission: experience evidence from Climate-Smart Staple Crop Production Project in Anhui, China[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2023, 35(3): 676-687.

Figures/Tables 7

References 33

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变量 Variable	平均值 Mean	标准差 Standard deviation	最小值 Minimum	最大值 Maximum
C	111.809 1	59.111 7	30.052 5	611.664 5
Z₁	13.275 7	0.888 5	11.164 1	14.851 4
Z₂	0.351 0	0.117 5	0.002 6	0.675 4
Z₃	0.216 0	0.114 2	0.073 1	0.843 6
Z₄	0.485 6	0.093 9	0.050 6	0.686 9
Z₅	6.275 6	0.355 4	5.380 2	7.923 8
Z₆	4.728 9	0.680 8	3.402 9	6.416 2
Z₇	4.561 8	0.410 9	3.530 4	5.236 5

变量 Variable	平均值 Mean	标准差 Standard deviation	最小值 Minimum	最大值 Maximum
C	111.809 1	59.111 7	30.052 5	611.664 5
Z₁	13.275 7	0.888 5	11.164 1	14.851 4
Z₂	0.351 0	0.117 5	0.002 6	0.675 4
Z₃	0.216 0	0.114 2	0.073 1	0.843 6
Z₄	0.485 6	0.093 9	0.050 6	0.686 9
Z₅	6.275 6	0.355 4	5.380 2	7.923 8
Z₆	4.728 9	0.680 8	3.402 9	6.416 2
Z₇	4.561 8	0.410 9	3.530 4	5.236 5

变量符号 Variable symbol	真实值 Real value	拟合值 Synthetic value
Z₁ Z₂	14.787 8 0.391 4	13.876 5 0.413 9
Z₃	0.137 6	0.106 0
Z₄	0.572 0	0.498 1
Z₅	6.177 4	6.193 2
Z₆	4.827 5	4.833 0
Z₇	4.898 6	4.889 8

变量符号 Variable symbol	真实值 Real value	拟合值 Synthetic value
Z₁ Z₂	14.787 8 0.391 4	13.876 5 0.413 9
Z₃	0.137 6	0.106 0
Z₄	0.572 0	0.498 1
Z₅	6.177 4	6.193 2
Z₆	4.827 5	4.833 0
Z₇	4.898 6	4.889 8

年份 Year	影响效应 Effect/kg	变化率 Change rate/%
2015	2.229 9	1.57
2016	-0.408 4	-0.29
2017	-3.479 5	-2.51
2018	-5.6431	-4.10
2019	-2.587 0	-1.84

Can Climate-Smart Agriculture Project reduce agricultural carbon emission: experience evidence from Climate-Smart Staple Crop Production Project in Anhui, China

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变量 Variable	lnC	Z₄	lnC	Z₁	lnC	Z₂	lnC
D	-1.650^*** (0.023)	-0.135^*** (0.011)	-0.995^*** (0.340)	-0.024 (0.029)	-1.650^*** (0.024)	-0.263^*** (0.011)	-0.522 (0.617)
Z₄	—	—	4.853^* (2.479)	—	—	—	—
Z₁	—	—	—	—	-0.012 (0.143)	—	—
Z₂	—	—	—	—	—	—	4.283^* (2.293)
常数项 Constant	10.225^*** (0.357)	0.051 (0.175)	9.976^*** (0.661)	12.849^*** (0.346)	10.385^*** (1.874)	0.391^* (0.220)	8.549^*** (0.861)
n	207	207	207	207	207	207	207
R²	0.851	0.719	0.926	0.990	0.851	0.619	0.933