›› 2012, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (1): 0-157.

• 食品科学 •    

Empirical research of Chinas rural industrial structure adjustment on rural economic growth

NIU Kai   

  1. Institute of Agricultural Information and Rural Economy,Sichuan Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Chengdu 610066,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2012-01-24 Published:2012-01-24

Abstract: In order to study the interaction between the rural industrial structure adjustment and economic growth in rural areas, reveal the inherent regularity of rural economic development, Investigate policy mechanism of promoting the sustained and rapid growth of the rural economy, we made an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) to analyze the relevant variables for cointegration test and a delay wide VAR model (LAVAR) to analyze the relevant variables for Granger causality test, using econometric research methods and Toda & Yamamoto, respectively. And on this basis, the effect of the rural industrial structure adjustment on Chinas rural economic growth was empirically analyzed in detail. The influence mechanism of Chinas rural industrial structure adjustment on rural economic growth was well explained by the relevant variables through cointegration analysis and Granger causality test. The results showed that there was a longterm equilibrium relationship between Chinas rural industrial structure adjustment and economic growth,and the adjustment of industrial structure in rural areas certainly will affect the rural economic growth.

Key words: rural areas, industrial structure, economic growth, structural adjustment, econometrics, empirical analysis