Abstract:

Based on analysis of the basic instance such as agriculture， environment， economy， population and water resources in Baoding from 2006 to 2010， the maximum gross domestic product （GDP），the maximum amount of population and the least sewage discharge were adopt as studying targets and the multi-objective optimization model of water resources carrying capacity was established base on Tchebycheff theory. The above-mentioned model was used to forecast water resources carrying capacity of programming years （the year of 2015 and 2025）. The results showed that increasing income and reducing expenditure of water resources was also the only way to adapt to the rapid economic situation. The measures of improving the utilizing efficiency of agricultural and industrial water and economize water level of town dwellers were the basic method while the measures of utilizing circulating sewage， medium water， rain water and inter-basin water transfer projects were the powerful supplement.

Key words: water resources carrying capacity, Tchebycheff theory, multi-objective model, Baoding