Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 346-354.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2021.02.18
• Agricultural Economy and Development • Previous Articles Next Articles
WEN Changcun1(), SUN Yuzhu2,*(
)
Received:
2020-06-28
Online:
2021-02-25
Published:
2021-02-25
Contact:
SUN Yuzhu
CLC Number:
WEN Changcun, SUN Yuzhu. Analysis on farmers’ willingness to buy agricultural accessory risk based on regional index in China: a case study on cotton growers in Hebei Province[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2021, 33(2): 346-354.
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URL: http://www.zjnyxb.cn/EN/10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2021.02.18
影响因素 Factors | 指标选取 Indicators | 变量设定或赋值方法 Defination | 编码 Code | 预期方向 Expected direction |
---|---|---|---|---|
个体特征 Individual | 1.性别 Gender | 女,0;男,1 Female, 0; Male, 1 | CEN | +/- |
characteristics | 2.年龄Age | 受访者实际年龄Age | AGE | +/- |
3.文化程度 Education level | 文盲,0;小学,1;初中,2;高中,3;大学及以上,4 Illiterate, 0; Primary school, 1; Junior high school, 2; Senior high school, 3; College and above, 4 | EDU | + | |
4.货币的时间偏好 Time preference of money | 100元钱一年后农户愿意接受的最低利息 The minimum interest that farmers are willing to accept for 100 yuan after one year | MTP | +/- | |
5.风险偏好 Risk appetite | 农户对不同投资回报与风险组合的偏好 Farmers’ preference for different investment returns and risk combinations | MRA | +/- | |
家庭特征 Family | 6.家庭人口数 Family number | 受访者家庭实人口数 Actual population of interviewee’s family | HNU | +/- |
characteristics | 7.家庭耕地面积 Cultivated land area/m2 | 受访者家庭实际耕作田地面积 The area of actually cultivated land by the interviewee’s family | CLQ | + |
8.家庭总收入 Household income/yuan | 受访者当年家庭的毛收入 Gross income of interviewee’s family in this year | TIN | +/- | |
9.种地收入 Income from farming/yuan | 农作物当年毛收入 Gross income from farming in this year | TCI | +/- | |
10.贷款额 Loan amount/yuan | 受访者家庭当年实际贷款额 Actual loan of the interviewee’s family in this year | LRD | +/- | |
社会情况 Social situation | 11.受访者家庭在县里收入水平 Income level of interviewee’s family in the county | 贫困,1;中等偏下,2;中等,3;比较好,4;富裕,5 Poverty, 1; Lower middle, 2; Medium, 3; Relatively good, 4; Rich, 5 | HIL | - |
12.是否参加过合作社 Enrollment in cooperative | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | TEM | + | |
13.近期是否参加过农技培训 Enrollment in training | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | COP | + | |
影响因素 Factors | 指标选取 Indicators | 变量设定或赋值方法 Defination | 编码 Code | 预期方向 Expected direction |
对农业保险的 认知与意愿 Cognition and | 14.是否听说过农业保险 Do you have knowledge about agricultural insurance | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | HAI | + |
willingness of agricultural | 15.是否购买棉花主险 Have you bought cotton insurance? | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | BAI | +/- |
insurance | 16. 是否认为保险对稳定种地 收入有作用 Your opinion toward the role of insurance in stabilizing the income from farming | 完全没有,1;没有帮助,2;一般,3;有帮助,4;非常有帮助,5 Not at all, 1; No help, 2; General, 3; Helpful, 4; Very helpful, 5 | ULT | + |
17.支付金额 Payment | 农户获得STAX保险,愿意支付的最高金额 Maximum amount of farmers’ willingness to pay | WTP | - | |
18.近5 a受灾情况 Disaster situation in recent 5 years/yuan | 近5 a受灾损失金额 Losses from disaster in the past five years | NUH | + | |
19.是否曾经发生过“前一期买 保险未发生理赔,下一期就停 止购买” Have you stopped purchase of insurance when you did not receive compensation | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | NBA | - | |
20.亲人邻里是否愿意购买以整 体预期收入为投保标的的棉花 保险 Would your relatives or neighbors purchase insurance with the whole expected income as insurance subject | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | GRI | +/- |
Table 1 Index system and description
影响因素 Factors | 指标选取 Indicators | 变量设定或赋值方法 Defination | 编码 Code | 预期方向 Expected direction |
---|---|---|---|---|
个体特征 Individual | 1.性别 Gender | 女,0;男,1 Female, 0; Male, 1 | CEN | +/- |
characteristics | 2.年龄Age | 受访者实际年龄Age | AGE | +/- |
3.文化程度 Education level | 文盲,0;小学,1;初中,2;高中,3;大学及以上,4 Illiterate, 0; Primary school, 1; Junior high school, 2; Senior high school, 3; College and above, 4 | EDU | + | |
4.货币的时间偏好 Time preference of money | 100元钱一年后农户愿意接受的最低利息 The minimum interest that farmers are willing to accept for 100 yuan after one year | MTP | +/- | |
5.风险偏好 Risk appetite | 农户对不同投资回报与风险组合的偏好 Farmers’ preference for different investment returns and risk combinations | MRA | +/- | |
家庭特征 Family | 6.家庭人口数 Family number | 受访者家庭实人口数 Actual population of interviewee’s family | HNU | +/- |
characteristics | 7.家庭耕地面积 Cultivated land area/m2 | 受访者家庭实际耕作田地面积 The area of actually cultivated land by the interviewee’s family | CLQ | + |
8.家庭总收入 Household income/yuan | 受访者当年家庭的毛收入 Gross income of interviewee’s family in this year | TIN | +/- | |
9.种地收入 Income from farming/yuan | 农作物当年毛收入 Gross income from farming in this year | TCI | +/- | |
10.贷款额 Loan amount/yuan | 受访者家庭当年实际贷款额 Actual loan of the interviewee’s family in this year | LRD | +/- | |
社会情况 Social situation | 11.受访者家庭在县里收入水平 Income level of interviewee’s family in the county | 贫困,1;中等偏下,2;中等,3;比较好,4;富裕,5 Poverty, 1; Lower middle, 2; Medium, 3; Relatively good, 4; Rich, 5 | HIL | - |
12.是否参加过合作社 Enrollment in cooperative | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | TEM | + | |
13.近期是否参加过农技培训 Enrollment in training | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | COP | + | |
影响因素 Factors | 指标选取 Indicators | 变量设定或赋值方法 Defination | 编码 Code | 预期方向 Expected direction |
对农业保险的 认知与意愿 Cognition and | 14.是否听说过农业保险 Do you have knowledge about agricultural insurance | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | HAI | + |
willingness of agricultural | 15.是否购买棉花主险 Have you bought cotton insurance? | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | BAI | +/- |
insurance | 16. 是否认为保险对稳定种地 收入有作用 Your opinion toward the role of insurance in stabilizing the income from farming | 完全没有,1;没有帮助,2;一般,3;有帮助,4;非常有帮助,5 Not at all, 1; No help, 2; General, 3; Helpful, 4; Very helpful, 5 | ULT | + |
17.支付金额 Payment | 农户获得STAX保险,愿意支付的最高金额 Maximum amount of farmers’ willingness to pay | WTP | - | |
18.近5 a受灾情况 Disaster situation in recent 5 years/yuan | 近5 a受灾损失金额 Losses from disaster in the past five years | NUH | + | |
19.是否曾经发生过“前一期买 保险未发生理赔,下一期就停 止购买” Have you stopped purchase of insurance when you did not receive compensation | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | NBA | - | |
20.亲人邻里是否愿意购买以整 体预期收入为投保标的的棉花 保险 Would your relatives or neighbors purchase insurance with the whole expected income as insurance subject | 否,0;是,1 No, 0; Yes, 1 | GRI | +/- |
变量 | CEN | AGE | EDU | MTP | MRA | HNU | CLQ | TIN | TCI | LRD | HIL | TEM | COP | HAI | BAI | ULT | WTP | NUH | NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Varibale | |||||||||||||||||||
AGE | 0.50 | ||||||||||||||||||
EDU | 0.50 | 0.58 | |||||||||||||||||
MTP | 0.50 | 0.84 | 0.56 | ||||||||||||||||
MRA | 0.50 | 0.73 | 0.68 | 0.66 | |||||||||||||||
HNU | 0.50 | 0.84 | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.83 | ||||||||||||||
CLQ | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.56 | 0.99 | 0.65 | 0.73 | |||||||||||||
TIN | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | ||||||||||||
TCI | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.56 | |||||||||||
LRD | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.68 | ||||||||||
HIL | 0.85 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |||||||||
TEM | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.93 | ||||||||
COP | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.95 | |||||||
HAI | 0.96 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.75 | ||||||
BAI | 0.76 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 0.74 | |||||
ULT | 0.96 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.92 | 0.79 | ||||
WTP | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |||
NUH | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | ||
NBA | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.79 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.50 | |
GRI | 0.76 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
Table 2 Grey absolute correlation matrix of original explanatory variables
变量 | CEN | AGE | EDU | MTP | MRA | HNU | CLQ | TIN | TCI | LRD | HIL | TEM | COP | HAI | BAI | ULT | WTP | NUH | NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Varibale | |||||||||||||||||||
AGE | 0.50 | ||||||||||||||||||
EDU | 0.50 | 0.58 | |||||||||||||||||
MTP | 0.50 | 0.84 | 0.56 | ||||||||||||||||
MRA | 0.50 | 0.73 | 0.68 | 0.66 | |||||||||||||||
HNU | 0.50 | 0.84 | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.83 | ||||||||||||||
CLQ | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.56 | 0.99 | 0.65 | 0.73 | |||||||||||||
TIN | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | ||||||||||||
TCI | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.56 | |||||||||||
LRD | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.68 | ||||||||||
HIL | 0.85 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |||||||||
TEM | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.93 | ||||||||
COP | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.95 | |||||||
HAI | 0.96 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.83 | 0.78 | 0.75 | ||||||
BAI | 0.76 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.87 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 0.74 | |||||
ULT | 0.96 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.92 | 0.79 | ||||
WTP | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.84 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | |||
NUH | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | ||
NBA | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.79 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.50 | |
GRI | 0.76 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
变量 Variable | 系数 Coefficient | 标准差 Standard error | Z | P |
---|---|---|---|---|
BAI | -0.851 | 0.390 | -0.18 | 0.029 |
ULT | 0.460 | 0.203 | 2.27 | 0.023 |
WTP | -1.036 | 0.135 | -7.67 | <0.001 |
GRI | 1.014 | 0.399 | 2.54 | 0.011 |
TCI | 1.122 | 0.484 | 2.32 | 0.020 |
NBA | -0.061 | 0.359 | -0.17 | 0.865 |
LRD | -0.088 | 0.094 | -0.94 | 0.346 |
EDU | -0.299 | 0.220 | -1.36 | 0.175 |
MRA | 0.043 | 0.099 | 0.43 | 0.667 |
HNU | 0.012 | 0.110 | 0.11 | 0.916 |
CLQ | 0.008 | 0.026 | 0.29 | 0.775 |
TIN | -0.166 | 0.367 | -0.45 | 0.650 |
Table 3 Estimation result of model
变量 Variable | 系数 Coefficient | 标准差 Standard error | Z | P |
---|---|---|---|---|
BAI | -0.851 | 0.390 | -0.18 | 0.029 |
ULT | 0.460 | 0.203 | 2.27 | 0.023 |
WTP | -1.036 | 0.135 | -7.67 | <0.001 |
GRI | 1.014 | 0.399 | 2.54 | 0.011 |
TCI | 1.122 | 0.484 | 2.32 | 0.020 |
NBA | -0.061 | 0.359 | -0.17 | 0.865 |
LRD | -0.088 | 0.094 | -0.94 | 0.346 |
EDU | -0.299 | 0.220 | -1.36 | 0.175 |
MRA | 0.043 | 0.099 | 0.43 | 0.667 |
HNU | 0.012 | 0.110 | 0.11 | 0.916 |
CLQ | 0.008 | 0.026 | 0.29 | 0.775 |
TIN | -0.166 | 0.367 | -0.45 | 0.650 |
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