福建省粮食生产的耕地利用效应时空分析

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2020.05.21

浙江农业学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (5): 923-930.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2020.05.21

福建省粮食生产的耕地利用效应时空分析

黄锦东

福建省自然资源厅,福建福州 350001

收稿日期:2019-11-14 出版日期:2020-05-25 发布日期:2020-05-29
作者简介:黄锦东(1974—),男,台湾人,硕士,高级工程师,研究方向为国土资源管理、耕地保护政策。E-mail: huangjindong1974@163.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金(41571384)

Spatial and temporal analysis into effect of cultivated land use in grain production in Fujian Province

HUANG Jindong

Department of Natural Resources of Fujian Province, Fuzhou 350001, China

Received:2019-11-14 Online:2020-05-25 Published:2020-05-29

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 根据福建省及其地级市2009—2016年的粮食生产数据,对其粮食生产和耕地利用情况进行时空分析,并采用LMDI模型分解各耕地利用因素对粮食产量的贡献,比较和分析不同耕地利用因素对粮食产量变化的效应,以探究不同区域粮食产量变化的主导因素。结果表明:福建省2009—2016年粮食产量约下降2.4%,其中,粮作比下降8.8%是导致福建省粮食减产的主要因素。2009—2016年,福建省各地级市中仅龙岩和三明2地实现粮食增产。厦门农业劳动力人均耕地面积降幅最大,龙岩和漳州粮食单产增幅明显,泉州农业劳动力数量下降明显,所有地级市的粮作比均有不同程度的下降。结构效应是导致福建省粮食减产的主要因素,影响省内各地级市粮食产量变化的因素则各有不同。

关键词: 粮食安全, 耕地利用, 福建

Abstract: The present study took Fujian Province as the research area, and analyzed the grain production and cultivated land use at both province and city levels. The LMDI model was used to decompose the contribution of cultivated land use factors to grain production, and the spatial and temporal analysis of cultivated land use effect was carried out. The results showed that the grain output in Fujian Province was decreased by about 2.4% in 2009-2016, and the grain farming ratio dropped by 8.8%. The decline of grain farming ratio was the main cause of reduction of grain production. From 2009 to 2016, only Longyan and Sanming achieved grain production growth among the cities in Fujian Province. The per capita arable land area of Xiamen's agricultural labor force experienced the largest decline. The grain yield per hectare in Longyan and Zhangzhou increased. Quanzhou's agricultural labor force fell the most. And the grain farming ratio in all cities in Fujian Province declined. Structure effect was the main reason for the reduction of grain production in Fujian, and the factors affecting the change of grain production in different cities were different.

Key words: food security, cultivated land use, Fujian

中图分类号:

黄锦东. 福建省粮食生产的耕地利用效应时空分析[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2020, 32(5): 923-930.

HUANG Jindong. Spatial and temporal analysis into effect of cultivated land use in grain production in Fujian Province[J]. , 2020, 32(5): 923-930.

参考文献

[1] 陈璐, 胡月, 韩学平, 等. 国家粮食安全中主产区粮食生产及其贡献的量化对比分析[J]. 中国土地科学, 2017, 31(9):34-42.
CHEN L, HU Y, HAN X P, et al.The quantitative comparative analysis of food production and contributions of major grain production areas in national food security[J]. China Land Science, 2017, 31(9): 34-42. (in Chinese with English abstract)
[2] 刘洛, 徐新良, 刘纪远, 等. 1990—2010年中国耕地变化对粮食生产潜力的影响[J]. 地理学报, 2014, 69(12): 1767-1778.
LIU L, XU X L, LIU J Y, et al.Impact of farmland changes on production potential in China during recent two decades[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2014, 69(12): 1767-1778.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[3] YANG H, LI X B.Cultivated land and food supply in China[J]. Land Use Policy, 2000, 17(2): 73-88.
[4] LICHTENBERG E, DING C R.Assessing farmland protection policy in China[J]. Land Use Policy, 2008, 25(1): 59-68.
[5] JIN X B, ZHANG Z H, WU X W, et al.Co-ordination of land exploitation, exploitable farmland reserves and national planning in China[J]. Land Use Policy, 2016, 57: 682-693.
[6] SONG W, LIU M L.Farmland conversion decreases regional and national land quality in China[J]. Land Degradation & Development, 2017, 28(2): 459-471.
[7] 金涛, 陆建飞. 江苏粮食生产地域分化的耕地因素分解[J]. 经济地理, 2011, 31(11): 1886-1890.
JIN T, LU J F.Factor decomposition in regional disparities of grain production in Jiangsu Province[J]. Economic Geography, 2011, 31(11): 1886-1890.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[8] 陈瑜琦, 李秀彬. 1980年以来中国耕地利用集约度的结构特征[J]. 地理学报, 2009, 64(4): 469-478.
CHEN Y Q, LI X B.Structural change of agricultural land use intensity and its regional disparity in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2009, 64(4): 469-478.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[9] 徐珊, 宋戈, 李丹, 等. 东北粮食主产区耕地资源时空变化及其对粮食生产能力的影响[J]. 农业工程学报, 2012, 28(21): 1-9.
XU S, SONG G, LI D, et al.Spatial-temporal variation of cultivated land and its effects on grain production capacity of northeast grain main production area[J]. Transactions of the CSAE, 2012, 28(21): 1-9.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[10] 杨宗辉, 李金锴, 韩晨雪, 等. 我国粮食生产重心变迁及其影响因素研究[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2019, 40(1): 36-43.
YANG Z H, LI J K, HAN C X, et al.The evolution path of China's grain production base and the influencing factors[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2019, 40(1): 36-43.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[11] 李昊儒, 毛丽丽, 梅旭荣, 等. 近30年来我国粮食产量波动影响因素分析[J]. 中国农业资源与区划, 2018, 39(10): 1-10.
LI H R, MAO L L, MEI X R, et al.Analysis on influencing factors of grain production fluctuation during the last 30 years in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2018, 39(10): 1-10. (in Chinese with English abstract)
[12] 邱孟龙, 曹小曙, 周建, 等. 基于GWR模型的渭北黄土旱塬粮食单产空间分异及其影响因子分析: 以陕西彬县为例[J]. 中国农业科学, 2019, 52(2): 273-284.
QIU M L, CAO X S, ZHOU J, et al.Spatial differentiation and impact factors of grain yield per hectare in Weibei plateau based on GWR model: a case study of Binxian County, Shaanxi[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2019, 52(2): 273-284.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[13] 叶妍君, 齐清文, 姜莉莉, 等. 基于地理探测器的黑龙江垦区农场粮食产量影响因素分析[J]. 地理研究, 2018, 37(1): 171-182.
YE Y J, QI Q W, JIANG L L, et al.Impact factors of grain output from farms in Heilongjiang reclamation area based on geographical detector[J]. Geographical Research, 2018, 37(1): 171-182.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[14] 金涛, 陶凯俐. 江苏省粮食生产时空变化的耕地利用因素分解[J]. 资源科学, 2013, 35(4): 758-763.
JIN T, TAO K L.Factor decomposition and temporal-spatial variation of grain production in Jiangsu[J]. Resources Science, 2013, 35(4): 758-763.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[15] 李月, 孔祥斌, 张安录, 等. 基于LMDI模型的我国省域粮食生产变化影响因素分析[J]. 中国农业大学学报, 2016, 21(1): 129-140.
LI Y, KONG X B, ZHANG A L, et al.Analysis of influence factors on crop production change in China at provincial level based on LMDI model[J]. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2016, 21(1): 129-140.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[16] 寻舸, 宋彦科, 程星月. 轮作休耕对我国粮食安全的影响及对策[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2017, 38(4): 681-687.
XUN G, SONG Y K, CHENG X Y.Impacts of the land fallow and crop rotation practice on grain security in China and solutions[J]. Research of Agricultural Modernization, 2017, 38(4): 681-687.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[17] 蒋敏, 李秀彬, 辛良杰, 等. 南方水稻复种指数变化对国家粮食产能的影响及其政策启示[J]. 地理学报, 2019, 74(1): 32-43.
JIANG M, LI X B, XIN L J, et al.The impact of paddy rice multiple cropping index changes in Southern China on national grain production capacity and its policy implications[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2019, 74(1): 32-43.(in Chinese with English abstract)
[18] 黑龙江省粮食局调研组. 关于福建省粮食产业发展有关情况的调研报告[J]. 黑龙江粮食, 2018 (7): 34-36.
Grain Bureau of Heilongjiang Province. Investigation report on the development of grain industry in Fujian Province[J]. Heilongjiang Grain, 2018 (7):34-36. (in Chinese)
[19] ANG B W.The LMDI approach to decomposition analysis: a practical guide[J]. Energy Policy, 2005, 33(7): 867-871.
[20] 卫龙宝, 张艳虹, 高叙文. 我国农业劳动力转移对粮食安全的影响: 基于面板数据的实证分析[J]. 经济问题探索, 2017(2): 160-167.
WEI L B, ZHANG Y H, GAO X W.The impact of agricultural labor transfer on food security in China: an empirical analysis based on panel data[J]. Inquiry into Economic Issues, 2017(2): 160-167.(in Chinese)
[21] 邵佳丽. 灾害、劳动力和机械动力对地方粮食产出的影响: 基于河北省11个地级市面板数据分析[J]. 湖北农业科学, 2017, 56(2): 365-369.
SHAO J L.Effects of disasters, human resources and mechanical power on grain output: an empirical analysis based on panel data from 11 prefecture-level cities of Hebei Province[J]. Hubei Agricultural Sciences, 2017, 56(2): 365-369.(in Chinese with English abstract)

编辑推荐

Metrics

阅读次数

全文

1712

HTML			PDF

最新录用	在线预览	正式出版	最新录用	在线预览	正式出版
0	0	2	0	0	1710

来源	本网站	其他网站

次数	1207	505
比例	71%	29%

摘要

566

最新录用	在线预览	正式出版

0	0	566

来源	本网站	其他网站

次数	563	3
比例	99%	1%

福建省粮食生产的耕地利用效应时空分析

Spatial and temporal analysis into effect of cultivated land use in grain production in Fujian Province

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 11

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	罗海平, 周静逸, 何志文. 基于县域尺度的粮食主产区耕地压力空间分异及其影响因子实证研究与预警[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2020, 32(8): 1493-1506.
[2]	李子琳, 韩逸, 郭熙, 国佳欣, 林雯璐. 基于结构方程模型的高安市耕地产能影响因素研究[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2020, 32(5): 866-877.
[3]	罗海平, 潘柳欣, 余兆鹏. 基于粮食安全贡献度的中国粮食主产区粮食供求格局演变[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2020, 32(11): 2077-2087.
[4]	吴昊玥, 黄瀚蛟, 何艳秋, 陈文宽. 净碳排放约束下的中国耕地利用效率评价及空间关联研究[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2019, 31(9): 1563-1574.
[5]	张会芳, 尹海燕, 冀保毅, 卓文飞. 1980—2013年河南省粮食生产特点及安全保障机制研究[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2017, 29(1): 1-7.
[6]	吕明1，范俊楠2，王雅鹏1，*. 湖北省粮食生产时空变动的实证研究——基于LMDI分解法[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2016, 28(5): 893-.
[7]	刘轩1，牛海鹏1，董国权1，刘文锴2. 基于Kohonen网络和DEA交叉评价耕地利用效率聚类分析[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2015, 27(9): 1652-.
[8]	田秋霞;张仁陟*. 社会转型期县域耕地需求量组合研究[J]. , 2014, 26(1): 0-176.
[9]	史常亮;王忠平*. 基于供求视角的中国粮食安全影响因素研究[J]. , 2013, 25(5): 0-1152.
[10]	张慧芳;吴宇哲;*;何良将. 我国推行休耕制度的探讨[J]. , 2013, 25(1): 0-170.
[11]	许连君;支炳义;刘卫东. 金华市区域土地利用变化及其驱动力分析[J]. , 2007, 19(2): 0-110.