浙江农业学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (1): 1-7.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2017.01.01

• 作物科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

1980—2013年河南省粮食生产特点及安全保障机制研究

张会芳1, 尹海燕2, 冀保毅3, 卓文飞1, *   

  1. 1.河南省农业科学院 农业信息与经济研究所,河南 郑州 450002;
    2.河南省农业科学院 农业质量标准与检测技术研究所,河南 郑州 450002;
    3.信阳农林学院,河南 信阳 464000
  • 收稿日期:2016-06-12 出版日期:2017-01-15 发布日期:2017-02-23
  • 通讯作者: 卓文飞,E-mail:kjcankao@126.com
  • 作者简介:张会芳(1977—),女,河南临颍人,博士,助理研究员,主要从事农业科技信息研究与服务。E-mail:hfzh2005@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    河南省农业科学院自主创新专项基金项目(2016ZC58); 河南省软科学研究计划项目(112400440006)

Study on characteristics of grain production and grain security guarantee mechanism in Henan Province during 1980-2013

ZHANG Huifang1, YIN Haiyan2, JI Baoyi3, ZHUO Wenfei1, *   

  1. 1. Institute of Agricultural Economics and Information, Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Zhengzhou 450002, China;
    2. Institute of Quality Standard and Testing Technology for Agro-products, Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Zhengzhou 450002, China;
    3. Xinyang College of Agriculture and Forestry, Xinyang 464000, China
  • Received:2016-06-12 Online:2017-01-15 Published:2017-02-23

摘要: 总结河南省1980—2013年耕地面积、农作物播种面积、粮食总产、种植结构、农业生产要素投入及生产总值的变化特点,分析土地资源、粮食总产变化趋势及上升空间,就未来河南省粮食安全机制进行探析。结果显示,河南省耕地面积上升及维持与政策扶持有关,继续上升幅度收窄,但耕地质量提高的空间较大。播种面积的波动同耕地面积的波动日益趋同,前者对后者的依赖性渐强。粮食总产增速放缓,稳产能力渐强,粮食产量继续大幅增加的压力较大。生产要素投入整体逐年增加,农业总产值直线上升,但占农林牧渔业总产值的比例直线下降。建议继续完善农业激励政策,稳定现有耕地数量,改造中低产田,提高中高产田的比例及土地利用效率,实现藏粮于地;加快科技创新,继续推进科技服务体系建设及“互联网+”现代农业行动,进一步提高农业科技贡献率,做到藏粮于技。

关键词: 粮食安全, 耕地面积, 播种面积, 种植结构, 粮食总产, 增产潜力, 耕地质量

Abstract: Based on the data of plow land area, sown area, grain output, planting structure, agricultural investment and total output value from 1980 to 2013 in Henan Province, the characteristics were summarized, the variation trend were analyzed and the food security mechanism in future was suggested. It was shown that the rising and maintain of plow land was related to policy support, and the increase potential was getting smaller, but the improvement potential for quality was large. The fluctuations of sown area and plow land area showed similar trend, indicating that the change of sown area was getting more dependent on the change of plow land area. The increase potential for total grain output was small, yet the ability to keep stable output was enhanced. In general, agricultural investment increased year by year, the total output value increased linearly, but the ratio of total agricultural output value to that of agriculture-forestry-stockbreeding-fishery decreased linearly. It was proposed that it should make farmers-benefiting-oriented policy, stabilize the plow land area, improve the soil quality of low to middle-yield-field, and raise the comprehensive productivity of land resource to improve the output of grain. And it should speed up scientific and technological innovation, and promote construction of science and technology service system and the “Internet+” modern agriculture to increase the contribution rate of agricultural science and technology progress.

Key words: food security, plow land area, sown area, planting structure, grain output, yield potential, land quality

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