基于交易视角的天然林资源保护工程区林业碳汇项目开发潜力——以黑龙江森工天保工程区为例

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2021.05.20

浙江农业学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5): 944-954.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2021.05.20

基于交易视角的天然林资源保护工程区林业碳汇项目开发潜力——以黑龙江森工天保工程区为例

陈丽荣¹(), 陈丽娟², 朱震锋¹, 韩丽晶¹, 曹玉昆¹^,^*()

1.东北林业大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150040
2.中国核电工程有限公司工程经济所,北京 100840

收稿日期:2020-09-02 出版日期:2021-05-25 发布日期:2021-05-25
通讯作者: 曹玉昆
作者简介:*曹玉昆,E-mail:cyklk@163.com
陈丽荣(1980—),女,山东禹城人,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为林业经济管理与森林碳汇。E-mail:chenlirong1980@126.com
基金资助:
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2572018BM04);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金(2572019BM04);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划(18JYB136);黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划(19GLC162)

Development potential of forestry carbon sequestration projects in natural forest protection project area: taking Heilongjiang Natural Forest Protection Project area as an example

CHEN Lirong¹(), CHEN Lijuan², ZHU Zhenfeng¹, HAN Lijing¹, CAO Yukun¹^,^*()

1. College of Economics and Management, Northeast Forestry University, Harbin 150040, China
2. Engineering Economics Institute, China Nuclear Power Engineering Co., Ltd., Beijing 100840, China

Received:2020-09-02 Online:2021-05-25 Published:2021-05-25
Contact: CAO Yukun

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

对天然林资源保护工程(天保工程)区不同类型林业碳汇项目开发的可行性进行学理分析与现实阐述,提出天保工程区适合开发的林业碳汇项目类型。依据已颁布的碳汇造林项目方法学、森林经营碳汇方法学,以及国际上已经推行的减少毁林碳汇项目要求,推导构建了不同类型林业碳汇项目开发潜力的估算模型,并以黑龙江森工天保工程区为例,对不同类型林业碳汇项目的开发潜力进行估算。研究表明:天保工程区既可以开发碳汇造林项目和人工林森林经营碳汇项目,还可以开发天然次生林森林经营碳汇项目和减少毁林碳汇项目。不同类型林业碳汇项目的开发潜力不同。以黑龙江森工天保工程区为例,天然次生林森林经营碳汇项目可开发的林地面积为295.25万hm²,开发潜力最大;人工林森林经营碳汇项目可开发的林地面积为86.9万hm²; 2014年以来可开发的减少毁林碳汇项目年均潜力为316.6万m³;碳汇造林项目可开发的林地面积为17.7万hm²,开发潜力最小。基于此,提出将天保工程区人工干扰程度为中高级的天然次生林正式纳入森林经营增汇减排项目允许范畴、尽快出台减少毁林碳汇项目方法学、汲取典型国家建设经验以加快我国林业碳汇交易市场建设的建议。

关键词: 天然林资源保护工程, 林业碳汇项目, 开发潜力

Abstract:

In the present study, the developing feasibility of different types of forestry carbon sequestration projects were analyzed both theoretically and realistically, and suitable types for the natural forest protection project (NFPP) areas were put forward. According to the domestic carbon sequestration afforestation project methodology, forest management carbon sequestration methodology and the requirements of reducing deforestation carbon sequestration project practiced abroad, the estimation models for the development potential of different types of forestry carbon sequestration projects were deduced and constructed, and the development potential of different types of forestry carbon sequestration projects in the NFPP area was estimated by taking Heilongjiang Natural Forest Protection Project area as an example. It was shown that the suitable types of forestry carbon sequestration projects in the NFPP area were not only limited to the carbon sequestration afforestation projects (CSAP) and plantation forest management projects (PFMP), but also the natural secondary forest management carbon sequestration projects (NSFMCSP) and deforestation carbon sequestration projects (DCSP). The development potential of different types of forestry carbon sequestration projects in the NFPP area was different. By taking Heilongjiang Natural Forest Protection Project area as an example, 295.25×10⁴ hm² forest land could be developed as NSFMCSP, with the largest development potential, 86.9×10⁴ hm² forest land could be developed as PFMP, the annual potential of DSCP could reach 316.6×10⁴ m³ since 2014, and 17.7×10⁴ hm² forest land could be developed as CSAP, with the lowest development potential. Based on the above results, suggestions were proposed as follows. The natural secondary forests with intermediate and high levels of artificial disturbance in the NFPP area should be officially included in the permitted scope of the forest management sequestration increase and emission reduction project. The methodology for DCSP should be developed. The construction of forestry carbon sequestration trading market should be accelerated, and worldwide experiences should be learned.

Key words: natural forest protection project, forestry carbon sequestration project, development potential

中图分类号:

F062.2

陈丽荣, 陈丽娟, 朱震锋, 韩丽晶, 曹玉昆. 基于交易视角的天然林资源保护工程区林业碳汇项目开发潜力——以黑龙江森工天保工程区为例[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2021, 33(5): 944-954.

CHEN Lirong, CHEN Lijuan, ZHU Zhenfeng, HAN Lijing, CAO Yukun. Development potential of forestry carbon sequestration projects in natural forest protection project area: taking Heilongjiang Natural Forest Protection Project area as an example[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2021, 33(5): 944-954.

图/表 5

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类型 Type	面积 Area/(10⁴ hm²)	占比 Proportion/%
幼龄林Young stand	199.16	23.2
中龄林Middle-aged stand	492.57	57.4
近熟林Near-mature stand	137.84	16.1
成熟林和过熟林	28.93	3.3
Mature and postmature stand

类型 Type	面积 Area/(10⁴ hm²)	占比 Proportion/%
幼龄林Young stand	199.16	23.2
中龄林Middle-aged stand	492.57	57.4
近熟林Near-mature stand	137.84	16.1
成熟林和过熟林	28.93	3.3
Mature and postmature stand

年份 Year	天然林Natural forest		人工林Plantation forest
年份 Year	面积 Area/hm²	占比 Proportion/%	面积 Area/hm²	占比 Proportion/%
2002	6 639 721	80.87	1 570 673	19.13
2010	7 369 563	86.73	1 128 035	13.27
2016	8 028 070	93.51	5 56 930	6.49

年份 Year	天然林Natural forest		人工林Plantation forest
年份 Year	面积 Area/hm²	占比 Proportion/%	面积 Area/hm²	占比 Proportion/%
2002	6 639 721	80.87	1 570 673	19.13
2010	7 369 563	86.73	1 128 035	13.27
2016	8 028 070	93.51	5 56 930	6.49

年份 Year	林业系统职工 Employees in forestry system	全国城镇非私营单位 National urban employees in non-private units	全国城镇私营单位 National urban employees in private units
2011	12 746	41 799	24 556
2012	19 117	46 769	28 752
2013	19 400	51 483	32 706
2014	22 620	56 360	36 390
2015	28 293	62 029	39 589
2016	29 542	67 569	42 833
2017	30 887	74 318	45 761

基于交易视角的天然林资源保护工程区林业碳汇项目开发潜力——以黑龙江森工天保工程区为例

Development potential of forestry carbon sequestration projects in natural forest protection project area: taking Heilongjiang Natural Forest Protection Project area as an example

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年份Year	M_i	N_i	M_i-N_i
2005	3 428.8	4 544.0	0
2006	4 094.5	3 588.6	505.9
2007	3 080.9	4 445.7	0
2008	2 118.5	5 174.1	0
2009	3 617.0	2 349.9	1 267.1
2010	1 705.7	1 680.4	25.3
2011	1 759.6	381.2	1 378.4
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2013	224.0	924.7	0
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