浙江农业学报 ›› 2024, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (10): 2379-2390.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.20230562
收稿日期:2023-05-03
									
				
									
				
									
				
											出版日期:2024-10-25
									
				
											发布日期:2024-10-30
									
			作者简介:于伟咏(1989—),男,河南三门峡人,博士,副教授,研究方向为农林经济。E-mail: 726707807@qq.com
				
							通讯作者:
					*赵飞,E-mail: 1583911556@qq.com
							基金资助:
        
               		YU Weiyong(
), ZHAO Fei*(
), CHEN Yue
			  
			
			
			
                
        
    
Received:2023-05-03
									
				
									
				
									
				
											Online:2024-10-25
									
				
											Published:2024-10-30
									
			摘要:
为探究资产专用性对农户土地转出意愿、行为和意愿行为偏差的影响,基于贵州省普定县3镇274户的实地调研数据,构建Logistic模型进行实证分析。研究表明:农户的土地转出意愿和行为间存在偏差。资产专用性越强,土地转出意愿和行为越弱。人力资本专用性中的种植年限、每年参加培训次数、农业生产管理能力对转出意愿具有显著影响,其中,种植年限的影响方向为正,其余两者为负;种植年限和务农劳动占比分别对转出行为具有显著的正向和负向影响。土地资产专用性中的灌溉条件、地块平均面积对转出意愿具有显著负向影响,土壤肥沃程度和灌溉条件分别对转出行为具有显著的负向和正向影响。表征实物资产专用性的农机价值对转出意愿和转出行为均具有显著负向影响。地理位置资产专用性中的交通条件、村委会到县城的距离对转出意愿分别具有显著的负向和正向影响,村委会到县城的距离对转出行为具有显著负向影响。资产专用性对农户土地转出意愿行为偏差的总体影响较大。为强化资产专用性对农户土地流转的作用,提出如下对策建议:1)多渠道盘活人力资本专用性资产;2)充分发挥土地资源禀赋优势;3)提升现代农业社会化服务能力;4)优化交通条件,提高信息获得能力;5)健全土地流转配套支持政策。
中图分类号:
于伟咏, 赵飞, 陈悦. 基于资产专用性理论的农户土地流转行为研究[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2024, 36(10): 2379-2390.
YU Weiyong, ZHAO Fei, CHEN Yue. A study of farmers’ land transfer behavior based on asset specificity theory[J]. Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis, 2024, 36(10): 2379-2390.
| 变量 Variable  |  变量符号 Variable symbol  |  变量说明 Variable description  |  平均值 Mean  |  标准偏差 Standard deviation  |  预期影响 Expected impact  | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 土地转出意愿 Willingness of land transfer  |  Y1 | 1,愿意;0,不愿意 1, Willing; 0, Unwilling  |  0.53 | 0.50 | — | |
| 土地转出行为 Land transfer behavior  |  Y2 | 1,转出土地;0,不转出土地 1, Land transferred; 0, No land transferred  |  0.34 | 0.48 | — | |
| 种植年限 Planting years/a  |  X1 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  28.69 | 14.46 | - | |
| 每年参加培训的次数 Number of trainings participated per year  |  X2 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.27 | 0.911 | - | |
| 农业生产管理能力 Agricultural production management capacity  |  X3 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.17 | 0.97 | - | |
| 务农劳动占比 Percentage of labor in agriculture  |  X4 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.58 | 0.36 | - | |
| 土壤肥沃度 Soil fertility  |  X5 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.33 | 0.96 | - | |
| 灌溉条件 Irrigation conditions  |  X6 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.24 | 1.09 | - | |
| 地块平均面积 Average size of plots/hm2  |  X7 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.03 | 0.08 | - | |
| 最大地块面积 Maximum size of plot/hm2  |  X8 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.09 | 0.10 | - | |
| 农机价值 Value of agricultural machinery/(104yuan)  |  X9 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.46 | 1.18 | - | |
| 交通条件 Transport conditions  |  X10 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.59 | 0.92 | - | |
| 村委会到县城的距离 Distance from village to county towns/km  |  X11 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  22.09 | 13.67 | - | |
| 村委会到乡镇的距离 Distance from village to township/km  |  X12 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  3.49 | 1.81 | ± | |
| 户主受教育年限 Years of education of household head/a  |  X13 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  6.89 | 3.41 | + | |
| 家中有无村干部 Presence of village officials at home  |  X14 | 1,是;0,否 1, Yes; 0, No  |  0.18 | 0.38 | + | |
| 农业生产面积Agricultural production area/hm2 | X15 | 连续变量Continuous variable | 0.60 | 2.05 | + | |
| 户主年龄Age of household head/a | X16 | 连续变量Continuous variable | 51.58 | 11.53 | + | |
表1 变量说明与描述性统计
Table 1 Description of variables and descriptive statistics
| 变量 Variable  |  变量符号 Variable symbol  |  变量说明 Variable description  |  平均值 Mean  |  标准偏差 Standard deviation  |  预期影响 Expected impact  | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 土地转出意愿 Willingness of land transfer  |  Y1 | 1,愿意;0,不愿意 1, Willing; 0, Unwilling  |  0.53 | 0.50 | — | |
| 土地转出行为 Land transfer behavior  |  Y2 | 1,转出土地;0,不转出土地 1, Land transferred; 0, No land transferred  |  0.34 | 0.48 | — | |
| 种植年限 Planting years/a  |  X1 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  28.69 | 14.46 | - | |
| 每年参加培训的次数 Number of trainings participated per year  |  X2 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.27 | 0.911 | - | |
| 农业生产管理能力 Agricultural production management capacity  |  X3 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.17 | 0.97 | - | |
| 务农劳动占比 Percentage of labor in agriculture  |  X4 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.58 | 0.36 | - | |
| 土壤肥沃度 Soil fertility  |  X5 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.33 | 0.96 | - | |
| 灌溉条件 Irrigation conditions  |  X6 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.24 | 1.09 | - | |
| 地块平均面积 Average size of plots/hm2  |  X7 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.03 | 0.08 | - | |
| 最大地块面积 Maximum size of plot/hm2  |  X8 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.09 | 0.10 | - | |
| 农机价值 Value of agricultural machinery/(104yuan)  |  X9 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  0.46 | 1.18 | - | |
| 交通条件 Transport conditions  |  X10 | 1,很差;2,比较差;3,一般;4,比较好;5,很好 1, Very poor; 2, Poor; 3, Fair; 4, Good; 5, Very good  |  3.59 | 0.92 | - | |
| 村委会到县城的距离 Distance from village to county towns/km  |  X11 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  22.09 | 13.67 | - | |
| 村委会到乡镇的距离 Distance from village to township/km  |  X12 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  3.49 | 1.81 | ± | |
| 户主受教育年限 Years of education of household head/a  |  X13 | 连续变量 Continuous variable  |  6.89 | 3.41 | + | |
| 家中有无村干部 Presence of village officials at home  |  X14 | 1,是;0,否 1, Yes; 0, No  |  0.18 | 0.38 | + | |
| 农业生产面积Agricultural production area/hm2 | X15 | 连续变量Continuous variable | 0.60 | 2.05 | + | |
| 户主年龄Age of household head/a | X16 | 连续变量Continuous variable | 51.58 | 11.53 | + | |
| 变量 Variable  |  模型1的结果Results of Model 1 | 模型2的结果Results of Model 2 | 模型3的回归系数 Regression coeeficent of Model 3  |  模型4的回归系数 Regression coeeficent of Model 4  | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  |  回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  | |||
| X1 | 0.020* | 1.020 | 0.030** | 1.030 | 0.008 | 0.015** | 
| X2 | -1.182** | 0.307 | -1.838 | 0.159 | -0.454** | -0.406 | 
| X3 | -0.291* | 0.747 | -0.256 | 0.774 | -0.139 | -0.140 | 
| X4 | 0.275 | 1.316 | -1.364** | 0.256 | 0.074 | -0.948*** | 
| X5 | -0.177 | 0.838 | -0.475*** | 0.622 | -0.086 | -0.240*** | 
| X6 | -0.303** | 0.739 | 0.302* | 1.353 | -0.160* | 0.132 | 
| X7 | -13.051** | 0.001 | 0.618 | 1.855 | -1.073 | 0.562 | 
| X8 | -2.677 | 0.069 | 7.129 | 1247.186 | -0.963 | 0.441 | 
| X9 | -1.507** | 0.222 | -2.513** | 0.081 | -0.330* | -0.967** | 
| X10 | -0.489*** | 0.613 | 0.284 | 1.328 | -0.286*** | 0.104 | 
| X11 | 0.042*** | 1.043 | -0.025* | 0.975 | 0.020*** | -0.016 ** | 
| X12 | 0.005 | 1.005 | 0.085 | 1.089 | -0.005 | 0.034 | 
| X13 | 0.111** | 1.117 | 0.062 | 1.064 | 0.057** | 0.032 | 
| X14 | 1.031** | 2.804 | 0.957** | 2.605 | 0.416* | 0.602** | 
| X15 | 0.635 | 1.888 | -3.096*** | 0.480 | 0.161 | -0.331 | 
表2 资产专用性对农户土地转出意愿和行为影响模型的估计结果
Table 2 Estimated results of the impact of asset specialization on farmers’ willingness and behavior to land transfer
| 变量 Variable  |  模型1的结果Results of Model 1 | 模型2的结果Results of Model 2 | 模型3的回归系数 Regression coeeficent of Model 3  |  模型4的回归系数 Regression coeeficent of Model 4  | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  |  回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  | |||
| X1 | 0.020* | 1.020 | 0.030** | 1.030 | 0.008 | 0.015** | 
| X2 | -1.182** | 0.307 | -1.838 | 0.159 | -0.454** | -0.406 | 
| X3 | -0.291* | 0.747 | -0.256 | 0.774 | -0.139 | -0.140 | 
| X4 | 0.275 | 1.316 | -1.364** | 0.256 | 0.074 | -0.948*** | 
| X5 | -0.177 | 0.838 | -0.475*** | 0.622 | -0.086 | -0.240*** | 
| X6 | -0.303** | 0.739 | 0.302* | 1.353 | -0.160* | 0.132 | 
| X7 | -13.051** | 0.001 | 0.618 | 1.855 | -1.073 | 0.562 | 
| X8 | -2.677 | 0.069 | 7.129 | 1247.186 | -0.963 | 0.441 | 
| X9 | -1.507** | 0.222 | -2.513** | 0.081 | -0.330* | -0.967** | 
| X10 | -0.489*** | 0.613 | 0.284 | 1.328 | -0.286*** | 0.104 | 
| X11 | 0.042*** | 1.043 | -0.025* | 0.975 | 0.020*** | -0.016 ** | 
| X12 | 0.005 | 1.005 | 0.085 | 1.089 | -0.005 | 0.034 | 
| X13 | 0.111** | 1.117 | 0.062 | 1.064 | 0.057** | 0.032 | 
| X14 | 1.031** | 2.804 | 0.957** | 2.605 | 0.416* | 0.602** | 
| X15 | 0.635 | 1.888 | -3.096*** | 0.480 | 0.161 | -0.331 | 
| 变量 Variable  |  模型5的结果Results of Model 5 | 模型6的结果Results of Model 6 | 边际效应Marginal effects | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  |  回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  |  正一致性 Positive coherence  |  悖离 Deviation  |  负一致性 Negative consistency  | |
| X1 | -0.037** (0.017)  |  0.964 | 0.059*** (0.022)  |  1.022 | 0.001 (0.002)  |  0.007** (0.003)  |  -0.007*** (0.003)  | 
| X3 | 0.323 (0.212)  |  1.381 | -0.460** (0.209)  |  0.872 | -0.015 (0.027)  |  -0.045 (0.030)  |  0.060** (0.029)  | 
| X4 | 0.998 (0.620)  |  2.713 | 0.308 (0.565)  |  3.691 | -0.172 (.0.075)  |  0.132 (0.080)  |  -0.040** (0.080)  | 
| X11 | -0.013 (0.018)  |  0.987 | 0.030* (0.016)  |  1.017 | 0.001* (0.002)  |  0.002* (0.002)  |  -0.002 (0.002)  | 
| X9 | 3.931*** (1.201)  |  50.950 | -1.490** (0.665)  |  11.482 | -0.463*** (0.168)  |  -0.010 (0.117)  |  0.473*** (0.095)  | 
| X7 | 12.658* (7.50)  |  3.181×10-6 | -17.368** (6.918)  |  2.865×10-8 | 1.136*** (0.425)  |  -1.563*** (0.540)  |  -2.698*** (0.892)  | 
| X6 | 0.044 (0.192)  |  1.045 | -0.321* (0.175)  |  0.758 | 0.011 (0.024)  |  -0.057* (0.025)  |  0.045* (0.025)  | 
| X5 | 0.417** (0.206)  |  1.517 | 0.086 (0.195)  |  1.653 | -0.066*** (0.025)  |  0.046 (0.009)  |  0.019 (0.009)  | 
| X13 | -0.141** (0.067)  |  0.868 | 0.136** (0.064)  |  0.995 | 0.011 (0.008)  |  0.012 (0.009)  |  -0.023*** (0.009)  | 
| X14 | -1.414*** (0.515)  |  0.243 | -0.381 (0.545)  |  0.166 | 0.224*** (0.056)  |  -0.191*** (0.073)  |  0.0337 (0.070)  | 
| X16 | -0.006 (0.024)  |  0.994 | -0.057** (0.027)  |  0.939 | 0.006* (0.003)  |  -0.010** (0.004)  |  0.004 (0.003)  | 
表3 资产专用性对农户土地转出意愿和转出行为偏差影响的回归结果
Table 3 Regression results of the effect of asset specialization on the bias of farmers’ willingness and behavior to land transfer
| 变量 Variable  |  模型5的结果Results of Model 5 | 模型6的结果Results of Model 6 | 边际效应Marginal effects | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  |  回归系数 Regression coeeficent  |  优势比 Ods ratio  |  正一致性 Positive coherence  |  悖离 Deviation  |  负一致性 Negative consistency  | |
| X1 | -0.037** (0.017)  |  0.964 | 0.059*** (0.022)  |  1.022 | 0.001 (0.002)  |  0.007** (0.003)  |  -0.007*** (0.003)  | 
| X3 | 0.323 (0.212)  |  1.381 | -0.460** (0.209)  |  0.872 | -0.015 (0.027)  |  -0.045 (0.030)  |  0.060** (0.029)  | 
| X4 | 0.998 (0.620)  |  2.713 | 0.308 (0.565)  |  3.691 | -0.172 (.0.075)  |  0.132 (0.080)  |  -0.040** (0.080)  | 
| X11 | -0.013 (0.018)  |  0.987 | 0.030* (0.016)  |  1.017 | 0.001* (0.002)  |  0.002* (0.002)  |  -0.002 (0.002)  | 
| X9 | 3.931*** (1.201)  |  50.950 | -1.490** (0.665)  |  11.482 | -0.463*** (0.168)  |  -0.010 (0.117)  |  0.473*** (0.095)  | 
| X7 | 12.658* (7.50)  |  3.181×10-6 | -17.368** (6.918)  |  2.865×10-8 | 1.136*** (0.425)  |  -1.563*** (0.540)  |  -2.698*** (0.892)  | 
| X6 | 0.044 (0.192)  |  1.045 | -0.321* (0.175)  |  0.758 | 0.011 (0.024)  |  -0.057* (0.025)  |  0.045* (0.025)  | 
| X5 | 0.417** (0.206)  |  1.517 | 0.086 (0.195)  |  1.653 | -0.066*** (0.025)  |  0.046 (0.009)  |  0.019 (0.009)  | 
| X13 | -0.141** (0.067)  |  0.868 | 0.136** (0.064)  |  0.995 | 0.011 (0.008)  |  0.012 (0.009)  |  -0.023*** (0.009)  | 
| X14 | -1.414*** (0.515)  |  0.243 | -0.381 (0.545)  |  0.166 | 0.224*** (0.056)  |  -0.191*** (0.073)  |  0.0337 (0.070)  | 
| X16 | -0.006 (0.024)  |  0.994 | -0.057** (0.027)  |  0.939 | 0.006* (0.003)  |  -0.010** (0.004)  |  0.004 (0.003)  | 
| 变量 Variable  |  模型7的结果 Results of Model 7  |  模型8的结果 Results of Model 8  | 
|---|---|---|
| X1 | -0.024**(0.013) | 0.016(0.016) | 
| X3 | 0.250(0.164) | -0.077(0.164) | 
| X4 | -0.740(0.461) | 1.000**(0.450) | 
| X11 | -0.004(0.014) | 0.001(0.013) | 
| X9 | 3.001***(0.860) | -1.940(0.861) | 
| X7 | -11.64***(4.22) | 0.001(0.864) | 
| X6 | -0.113(0.146) | -0.191(0.144) | 
| X5 | -0.298*(0.156) | 0.360**(0.155) | 
| X13 | -0.105**(0.051) | -0.008(0.050) | 
| X14 | -0.010(0.018) | -0.045**(0.021) | 
| X16 | -0.061***(0.389) | -1.370***(0.386) | 
表4 稳健性检验结果
Table 4 Results of robustness test
| 变量 Variable  |  模型7的结果 Results of Model 7  |  模型8的结果 Results of Model 8  | 
|---|---|---|
| X1 | -0.024**(0.013) | 0.016(0.016) | 
| X3 | 0.250(0.164) | -0.077(0.164) | 
| X4 | -0.740(0.461) | 1.000**(0.450) | 
| X11 | -0.004(0.014) | 0.001(0.013) | 
| X9 | 3.001***(0.860) | -1.940(0.861) | 
| X7 | -11.64***(4.22) | 0.001(0.864) | 
| X6 | -0.113(0.146) | -0.191(0.144) | 
| X5 | -0.298*(0.156) | 0.360**(0.155) | 
| X13 | -0.105**(0.051) | -0.008(0.050) | 
| X14 | -0.010(0.018) | -0.045**(0.021) | 
| X16 | -0.061***(0.389) | -1.370***(0.386) | 
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