浙江农业学报 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (1): 150-160.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2021.01.18

• 农业经济与发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国粮食主产区农业高质量发展水平评价与时空演变

张发明(), 丁峰*(), 王坪   

  1. 南昌大学 经济管理学院,江西 南昌 330031
  • 收稿日期:2020-07-07 出版日期:2021-01-25 发布日期:2021-01-25
  • 通讯作者: 丁峰
  • 作者简介:*丁峰,E-mail:dfncdxwan@163.com
    张发明(1980—),男,江西抚州人,博士,教授,研究方向为综合评价与决策支持。E-mail:zfm1214@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(41661116);国家自然科学基金(72004087);教育部人文社会科学研究基金(20YJC790161);江西省社科规划重点课题(18GL01);江西省杰出青年基金(2018ACB210003);江西省高等学校教学改革研究重点课题(JXJG-18-1-17);江西省主要学科学术和技术带头人项目(20194BCJ22001);江西省研究生创新专项资金(YC2019-S065)

Evaluation of high-quality agricultural development level in major grain producing areas in China and its spatial and temporal evolution

ZHANG Faming(), DING Feng*(), WANG Ping   

  1. School of Economic Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China
  • Received:2020-07-07 Online:2021-01-25 Published:2021-01-25
  • Contact: DING Feng

摘要:

为了探索中国农业高质量发展的现实情况,实现乡村振兴和农业农村现代化,基于高质量发展和五大发展理念建立中国粮食主产区农业高质量发展水平评价指标体系。采用熵权TOPSIS法对粮食主产区的农业高质量发展水平进行综合评价,并对其时空演变特征进行探讨。结果表明:我国粮食主产区农业高质量发展水平偏低,呈现波动上升的趋势,江苏长期保持第一的位置;中高水平区数量呈现比较明显的递增趋势,由中国沿海地区扩展到中部地区的湖北、湖南和江西等地;粮食主产区农业高质量发展水平正向集聚趋势不断增强;大部分粮食主产区相互之间联系较弱,呈现孤立发展的态势;农业高质量发展热点区域呈现萎缩然后又扩展的态势,热点区由北向南、由东部沿海向中部地区演变且不断增强。建议调整农业产业结构,加大农业技术投入,促进农业区域合作,实现农业绿色发展,以提升中国农业高质量发展水平。

关键词: 农业高质量发展, 粮食主产区, 发展水平, 综合评价, 时空演变

Abstract:

In order to explore the reality of China’s high-quality agricultural development, and realize rural revitalization, agriculture and rural modernization, an evaluartion index system for the development level of high-quality agriculture in China’s major grain-producing areas was established based on the concept of high-quality development and five development concepts. The entropy weight TOPSIS method was used to comprehensively evaluate the agricultural high-quality development level in major grain-producing areas. After that the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics were discussed. The results showed that the level of high-quality agricultural development in main grain-producing areas in China was low and the trend of fluctuation was rising. Meanwhile, Jiangsu had maintained its first position for a long time. The number of medium-high level areas in China’s main grain-producing areas showed an obvious increasing trend. The medium-high level areas expanded from China’s coastal areas to the central region, such as Hubei, Hunan and Jiangxi. The positive agglomeration trend of high-quality agricultural development in major grain-producing areas had continued to increase. Most of the main grain-producing areas had weak connection with each other, showing a trend of isolated development. Hot spots for high-quality agricultural development were shrinking and then expanding. Hot spots had evolved and strengthened from north to south, from the eastern coastal region to the central region. Therefore, it was necessary to adjust the structure of agricultural industry, increase input in agricultural technology, promote regional cooperation in agriculture, and realize green development of agriculture in order to improve the level of high-quality agricultural development in China.

Key words: high-quality agricultural development, major grain producing area, development level, comprehensive evaluation, spatial and temporal evolution

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