›› 2012, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (6): 0-1085.

• 论文 •    

Authentication of Kuznets curve on agricultural nonpoint source pollution in Zhejiang Province

ZHAO Liange;XYU Jianfen;WANG Xueyuan   

  1. School of Economics,Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018,China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2012-11-25 Published:2012-11-25

Abstract: Based on the data of agricultural nonpoint source pollution emissions and economic development indicators from 1995 to 2010 in Zhejiang Province, we used EKC model to verify whether the relationship between Zhejiang agricultural nonpoint source pollution and economic development showed inverted Ushape The results showed that the curve which represents the relationship between Zhejiang agricultural nonpoint source pollution emissions and the real GDP per capita was a typical inverted Ushape curve At present, it is the turning period of Zhejiang agricultural nonpoint source pollution and the pollution emission will reduce as the economy developed However, since EKC is just a description of the future trend of environmental quality, not a forecast There are still many problems in EKC theory, such as econometric model problem, metrics problem and so on Thus its wrong to believe the EKC hypothesis without thinking Environmental quality will not improve automatically; the agricultural environment of Zhejiang province is still facing triple pressure of rapid economic growth, environmental quality improvement and environmental risk prevention We can improve environment by carrying out economic and environmental policy, improving peoples quality and using technology.

Key words: EKC, agricultural nonpoint source pollution, economic development, Zhejiang Province