中国粮食进口安全综合评价研究——基于超效率DEA模型

doi:10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2018.03.19

浙江农业学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (3): 489-497.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2018.03.19

中国粮食进口安全综合评价研究——基于超效率DEA模型

王瑞峰^1,2, 李爽^1,*, 姜宇博¹

1.东北农业大学经济管理学院, 黑龙江哈尔滨 150030;
2.东北石油大学经济管理学院,黑龙江大庆 163000

收稿日期:2017-06-26 出版日期:2018-03-20 发布日期:2018-03-21
通讯作者: *李爽,E-mail: wrf1010@126.com
作者简介:王瑞峰(1982—),男,山东安丘人,博士研究生,主要从事农业经济管理研究。E-mail: 42178562@qq.com
基金资助:
黑龙江省哲学社科基金(17JYE399,16JYB19)

Comprehensive evaluation on China's food import security based on super efficiency DEA model

WANG Ruifeng^1,2, LI Shuang^1,*, JIANG Yubo¹

1. College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agriculture University,Harbin 150030,China;
2. College of Economics and Management, Northeast Petroleum University,Daqing 163000,China

Received:2017-06-26 Online:2018-03-20 Published:2018-03-21

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 在对粮食及粮食进口安全内涵加以界定的基础上,从粮食数量、粮食质量、粮食价格、粮食贸易、国家经济、生态环境6个方面分析中国粮食进口安全的影响因素,基于超效率DEA模型构建中国粮食进口安全评价模型。对1992—2015年中国粮食进口安全状况进行评价,结果表明,1992—2015年中国粮食进口处于安全状态,粮食进口对我国粮食价格安全和生态安全的影响程度较小,对数量安全、质量安全、贸易安全和经济安全的影响程度较大。

关键词: 粮食, 进口, DEA模型, 安全评价

Abstract: On the basis of defining the connotation of grain and grain import safety, this paper analyzes the influencing factors of China's grain import safety from the aspects of grain quantity, grain quality, grain price, grain trade, national economy and ecological environment. Based on the super-efficiency DEA, this paper evaluates the safety situation of China's grain imports from 1992 to 2015, and tests the significance of the indicators by constructing t statistics to overcome the defect of the super-efficiency DEA model which can not judge whether the indexes are significant. The results show that China's grain import security is in a safe state during the period from 1992 to 2015. Grain imports have little impact on grain price security and ecological security in China, and have a greater impact on quantity safety, quality and safety, trade security and economic security.

Key words: food, import, DEA model, security evaluation

中图分类号:

S-9
F326.11

王瑞峰, 李爽, 姜宇博. 中国粮食进口安全综合评价研究——基于超效率DEA模型[J]. 浙江农业学报, 2018, 30(3): 489-497.

WANG Ruifeng, LI Shuang, JIANG Yubo. Comprehensive evaluation on China's food import security based on super efficiency DEA model[J]. , 2018, 30(3): 489-497.

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中国粮食进口安全综合评价研究——基于超效率DEA模型

Comprehensive evaluation on China's food import security based on super efficiency DEA model

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