浙江农业学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (4): 962-972.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.2023.04.23

• 农业经济与发展 • 上一篇    

“双碳”目标背景下基于熵权TOPSIS法的区域农业高质量发展水平综合评价——基于变化速度特征视角

曾小春1(), 李随成1, 史官清2,*(), 邢泽宇3   

  1. 1.西安理工大学 经济与管理学院,陕西 西安 710048
    2.百色学院 马克思主义学院,广西 百色 533000
    3.浙江工业大学 管理学院,浙江 杭州 310014
  • 收稿日期:2022-04-23 出版日期:2023-04-25 发布日期:2023-05-05
  • 通讯作者: *史官清,E-mail:shiguanqing@126.com
  • 作者简介:曾小春(1988—),男,湖北黄冈人,博士,讲师,研究方向为低碳创新。E-mail:515366383@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    广西一流学科建设项目“百色学院马克思主义理论一流学科建设项目”(桂教科研〔2022〕1号)

Comprehensive evaluation of China’s regional agricultural quality development level based on entropy weight TOPSIS under background of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals: from perspective of change speed

ZENG Xiaochun1(), LI Suicheng1, SHI Guanqing2,*(), XING Zeyu3   

  1. 1. School of Economics and Management, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710048
    2. School of Marxism, Baise University, Baise 533000, Guangxi, China
    3. School of Management, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310014, China
  • Received:2022-04-23 Online:2023-04-25 Published:2023-05-05

摘要:

基于2015—2020年中国省级面板数据,在“双碳”目标背景下,运用熵权TOPSIS法,从农业低碳经济、农业碳汇量、农业碳排量、农业碳吸量4方面构建指标体系,对区域农业高质量发展状况进行时序评价,并基于变化速度视角构建区域农业高质量发展状况的综合评价模型。实证结果表明:“双碳”目标背景下时序评价值较高的河北、辽宁等地,其整体变化速度却呈现下降趋势,反映了相对“饱和”的高位势下后续发展的动力不足;时序评价值较低的宁夏、甘肃、贵州等地,整体变化速度却呈现上升的趋势,说明虽然这些地方的农业低碳高质量发展现状不尽如人意,但发展的后劲足,展现出“逆马太效应”现象。据此提出因地制宜促进发展、关注后续发力效应,缩小区域农业高质量发展差异的对策建议。

关键词: 农业高质量发展, 变化速度, 综合评价

Abstract:

Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2015 to 2020, a time series evaluation system on the high-quality development of regional agriculture was constructed under the background of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals from aspects of agricultural low-carbon economy, agricultural carbon sequestration, agricultural carbon emission and agricultural carbon sequestration. Besides, a comprehensive evaluation model of regional agricultural high-quality development was constructed from the perspective of change speed through information aggregation. The empirical results showed that the overall change speed of Hebei and Liaoning had a downward trend, while their time series evaluation results were relatively high, which reflected the lack of impetus for subsequent development. Ningxia, Gansu, Guizhou showed relatively lower temporal evaluation value, yet their change speed exhibited an upward trend. Although the current situation of high-quality development of agriculture under the background of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals in these regions was not satisfactory, but their development potential was sufficient, which showed the phenomenon of “reverse Matthew effect”. Based on these findings, suggestions were put forward, such as promoting development according to local conditions, paying attention to the follow-up effect, and narrowing the gap between regional high-quality development of agriculture.

Key words: high-quality development of agriculture, change speed, comprehensive evaluation

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