Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis ›› 2024, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (12): 2812-2822.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1004-1524.20231368

• Biosystems Engineering • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research on yield estimation method of winter wheat based on Sentinel-1/2 data and machine learning algorithms

ZHANG Yongbin1(), LI Xiang1, MAN Weidong1,2,3, LIU Mingyue1,2,4,*(), FAN Jihao5, HU Haoran5, SONG Lijie1, LIU Weijia1   

  1. 1. College of Mining Engineering, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan 063210, Hebei, China
    2. Tangshan Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Remote Sensing, Tangshan 063210, Hebei, China
    3. Hebei Industrial Technology Institute of Mine Ecological Remediation, Tangshan 063210, Hebei, China
    4. Collaborative Innovation Center of Green Development and Ecological Restoration of Mineral Resources, Tangshan 063210, Hebei, China
    5. Hebei Tangshan High Resolution Earth Observation System Data and Application Center, Tangshan 063210, Hebei, China
  • Received:2023-12-06 Online:2024-12-25 Published:2024-12-27

Abstract:

Aiming at the problem that optical images are easily affected by cloud and rain weather, resulting in low accuracy of crop yield estimation, in this study, the Sentinel-1/2 spectral information and backscattering coefficient at winter wheat heading stage were combined, and three machine learning regression methods of extreme gradient boosting, random forest and support vector machine were used to establish the winter wheat yield estimation model in Tangshan, the best model was selected to realize the winter wheat yield inversion in Tangshan. The results show that:the extreme gradient boosting model based on vegetation index and backscattering coefficient had the best estimation effect, with the determination coefficient (R2) of 0.654, the root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.499 t·hm-2, and the normalized root mean square error (nRMSE) of 10.02%. Among the 24 remote sensing feature variables, the importance of NDMI, NDVIre3 and NDVIre2 was much higher than that of the backscattering coefficient. Inverse spatial distribution of winter wheat yield in Tangshan based on optimal yield estimation model, the yield range of winter wheat was mainly concentrated in 7.00-8.00 t·hm-2, accounting for 40.75%, the distribution of winter wheat yield was generally similar to the ground truth. This study proposed Sentinel-1/2 data and integration of machine learning algorithms of winter wheat yield estimation method, effectively improve the inversion accuracy of winter wheat yield and machine learning method to strengthen the explanatory of the model, the method has certain feasibility.

Key words: remote sensing, yield, winter wheat, Sentinel-1/2 data, machine learning algorithm

CLC Number: