To predict and analyze the potential geographical distribution of Cryptolestes turcicus(Grouville) and investigate the impact of climatic environments on its distribution across different periods, based on the actual distribution data of C. turcicus and the environmental variables of the current period (1950—2000) and the future period (2021—2040 and 2041—2060) with 4 climate models (BCC_CSM2_MR, IPSL_CM6A_LR, MIROC6, MRI_ESM2_0) and two shared socioeconomic pathways (ssp245 and ssp585), this study used the MaxEnt model to predict the potential distribution area of C. turcicus in China. The results indicated that the current most suitable area for C. turcicus reached to 66.35×104 km2, primarily covering most regions of Hebei, Shandong, Henan, Anhui, Jiangsu, and Hubei provinces, as well as coastal areas of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. The highly suitable area (116.53×104 km2) was mainly distributed in western Heilongjiang, border regions of Jilin, Liaoning, and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, southern Beijing, northern Hebei, southern Shanxi, central-southern Shaanxi, southwestern Henan, and northeastern Sichuan. Jackknife analysis identified the average minimum temperature in August (Tmin8), altitude, average precipitation in August (Prec8), and average precipitation in November (Prec11) as key factors influencing the C. turcicus distribution. High occurrence probability (>0.5) was observed under conditions of altitude 0-300 m, Tmin8 20-29 ℃, Prec8 100-550 mm, and Prec11 15-108 mm. Under different future climate scenarios, both highly suitable area and most suitable area are projected to expand.Compared with the current period, the average increases in total suitable area under the two shared socioeconomic pathways (ssp245 and ssp585) were 8.5% and 4.1%, respectively. Regions such as Hunan, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Hong Kong SAR, Macao SAR, Guangdong, Fujian, western Inner Mongolia, eastern Sichuan, and western Chongqing are expected to show increased suitability levels. Additionally, the most suitable area may shift southward from Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu toward Hunan, Jiangxi, and Shanghai under future climate changes.